Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 29/08, 21:00

Prediction: Cosenza vs Potenza

Team pages: Cosenza · Potenza

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Cosenza1.23
Potenza1.71
1X2
26% 27% 47%
Cosenza Draw Potenza
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Cosenza 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWLWDWLWDL
Potenza 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWDLWLWDDW
Head-to-head
Cosenza 2–0 Potenza (2 last)
  • Potenza1-4Cosenza
  • Cosenza3-0Potenza
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cosenza 1527 · Potenza 1508
CosenzaDrawPotenza
Our model26%26%48%
Market26%28%47%
Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Cosenza: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CosenzaPotenza
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.22.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.70.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.32 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.13.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cosenza 200 Potenza

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
05/03/26
Italy Serie C Group C
Potenza1-4
HT 1-2
Cosenza
26/10/25
Italy Serie C Group C
Cosenza3-0
HT 1-0
Potenza

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Potenza 1100 413
2 Bari 1100 303
3 Audace Cerignola 1100 313
4 AZ Picerno ASD 1100 323
5 Sorrento Calcio 1100 213
5 Inter Milan U23 1100 213
7 Foggia 1100 103
7 Team Altamura 1100 103
9 Casertana 1010 331
9 Giugliano 1010 331
9 Scafatese 1010 331
9 Barletta 1010 331
13 AC Savoia 1908 1001 230
14 Catania 1001 120
14 Salernitana 1001 120
16 Monopoli 1001 010
17 Cosenza 1001 130
18 Casarano 1001 140
19 Cavese 1001 030
20 Crotone 1001 01-6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCosenzaPotenza
Cavese 1-1 D 2-2 D
Trapani 1-0 W 1-2 L
Foggia 1-0 W 1-0 W
Casarano 1-2 L 4-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cosenza

WWLWDWLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Audace Cerignola
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 1-3 56 L
26/04 Cavese
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-1 22 D
19/04 Trapani
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-0 93 W
13/04 AZ Picerno ASD
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 1-3 25 L
04/04 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-0 25 W
29/03 Benevento
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 1-1 16 D
22/03 US Latina Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 3-1 65 W
14/03 Casarano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-2 1-2 53 L
08/03 Team Altamura
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-0 55 W
05/03 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
2-1 4-1 64 W

Potenza

LWDLWLWDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/08 Casarano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 4-1 84 W
26/04 Monopoli
Italy Serie C Group C
2-1 2-2 31 D
19/04 Catania
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-1 17 D
12/04 Sorrento Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 3-0 42 W
06/04 Casarano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-2 52 L
28/03 Salernitana
Italy Serie C Group C
3-2 5-2 42 W
22/03 Trapani
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-2 54 L
14/03 Cavese
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 2-2 53 D
08/03 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-0 56 W
05/03 Cosenza
Italy Serie C Group C
1-2 1-4 84 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cosenza vs Potenza?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Potenza win (47%). Probabilities: Cosenza 26%, draw 27%, Potenza 47%.

How many goals are expected in Cosenza vs Potenza?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Cosenza 1.23 · Potenza 1.71), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cosenza vs Potenza?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.