Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 28/08, 21:00

Prediction: Casarano vs Giugliano

Team pages: Casarano · Giugliano

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Casarano1.44
Giugliano1.12
1X2
43% 29% 28%
Casarano Draw Giugliano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Casarano 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DLWDWWWLWL
Giugliano 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WLWLLWDDDD
Head-to-head
Casarano 2–0 Giugliano (2 last)
  • Casarano2-0Giugliano
  • Giugliano1-3Casarano
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Casarano 1530 · Giugliano 1474
CasaranoDrawGiugliano
Our model43%29%28%
Market43%29%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Casarano (rating 1530 vs 1474).
  • H2H favours Casarano: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CasaranoGiugliano
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.31.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 00.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)0.8 / 3.82 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.13 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Casarano 200 Giugliano

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/03/26
Italy Serie C Group C
Casarano2-0
HT 1-0
Giugliano
22/11/25
Italy Serie C Group C
Giugliano1-3
HT 1-2
Casarano

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Potenza 1100 413
2 Bari 1100 303
3 Audace Cerignola 1100 313
4 AZ Picerno ASD 1100 323
5 Sorrento Calcio 1100 213
5 Inter Milan U23 1100 213
7 Foggia 1100 103
7 Team Altamura 1100 103
9 Casertana 1010 331
9 Giugliano 1010 331
9 Scafatese 1010 331
9 Barletta 1010 331
13 AC Savoia 1908 1001 230
14 Catania 1001 120
14 Salernitana 1001 120
16 Monopoli 1001 010
17 Cosenza 1001 130
18 Casarano 1001 140
19 Cavese 1001 030
20 Crotone 1001 01-6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCasaranoGiugliano
Team Altamura 4-0 W 1-1 D
Crotone 1-2 L 1-0 W
Monopoli 1-2 L 2-0 W
Siracusa 1-1 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Casarano

DLWDWWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/08 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-4 64 L
26/04 Team Altamura
Italy Serie C Group C
2-0 4-0 22 W
19/04 Crotone
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-2 84 L
12/04 US Latina Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 2-1 43 W
06/04 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-1 32 W
29/03 Giugliano
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-0 43 W
23/03 Catania
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-1 38 D
14/03 Cosenza
Italy Serie C Group C
2-0 2-1 43 W
09/03 Monopoli
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-2 22 L
05/03 Siracusa
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-1 23 D

Giugliano

WLWLLWDDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/08 Scafatese
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 3-3 72 D
26/04 Casertana
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 1-1 44 D
19/04 Benevento
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-1 43 D
12/04 Team Altamura
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-1 144 D
06/04 Crotone
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-0 32 W
29/03 Casarano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-2 13 L
22/03 Audace Cerignola
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-1 31 L
14/03 Atalanta U23
Italy Serie C Group C
2-1 3-1 23 W
08/03 Siracusa
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 1-2 52 L
05/03 Monopoli
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-0 36 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Casarano vs Giugliano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Casarano win (43%). Probabilities: Casarano 43%, draw 29%, Giugliano 28%.

How many goals are expected in Casarano vs Giugliano?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Casarano 1.44 · Giugliano 1.12), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Casarano vs Giugliano?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.