Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 29/08, 18:00
Prediction: Foggia vs Salernitana
Team pages: Foggia · Salernitana
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
Foggia0.93
Salernitana1.12
1X2
Foggia
Draw
Salernitana
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Foggia
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Salernitana
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Foggia
3–3
Salernitana
(6 last)
- Foggia1-3Salernitana
- Salernitana2-1Foggia
- Foggia3-1Salernitana
- Salernitana1-0Foggia
- Foggia1-0Salernitana
- Salernitana0-3Foggia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Foggia 1441 · Salernitana 1530
| Foggia | Draw | Salernitana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 33% | 39% |
| Market | 30% | 30% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salernitana (rating 1441 vs 1530).
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Foggia | Salernitana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.6 | 2.4 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Foggia 3–0–3 Salernitana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Italy Serie C Group C | Foggia | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Salernitana |
| 20/12/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Salernitana | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Foggia |
| 01/05/19 Italy Serie B | Foggia | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Salernitana |
| 23/12/18 Italy Serie B | Salernitana | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Foggia |
| 12/05/18 Italy Serie B | Foggia | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Salernitana |
| 21/12/17 Italy Serie B | Salernitana | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Foggia |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Bari | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Audace Cerignola | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | AZ Picerno ASD | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Sorrento Calcio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Inter Milan U23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Foggia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Team Altamura | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Casertana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | Giugliano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | Scafatese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | Barletta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | AC Savoia 1908 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Catania | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Monopoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Cosenza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Casarano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 | Cavese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 | Crotone | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Foggia | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Trapani | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Benevento | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Potenza | 0-1 L | 2-5 L |
| Team Altamura | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Foggia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
1-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Siracusa Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 04/04 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | Trapani Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Cavese Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 15/03 | Benevento Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/03 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 05/03 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
Salernitana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Foggia Italy Serie C Group C |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Trapani Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Benevento Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
2-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 23/03 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 08/03 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 05/03 | Casertana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Foggia vs Salernitana?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Salernitana win (39%). Probabilities: Foggia 29%, draw 31%, Salernitana 39%.
How many goals are expected in Foggia vs Salernitana?
The model expects 2.05 goals (Foggia 0.93 · Salernitana 1.12), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Foggia vs Salernitana?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.