Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 29/08, 18:00

Prediction: Sorrento Calcio vs Crotone

Team pages: Sorrento Calcio · Crotone

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Sorrento Calcio1.47
Crotone1.01
1X2
47% 29% 25%
Sorrento Calcio Draw Crotone
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sorrento Calcio 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLLDLWLDDW
Crotone 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWLDWLWWLL
Head-to-head
Sorrento Calcio 2–2–2 Crotone (6 last)
  • Sorrento Calcio2-2Crotone
  • Sorrento Calcio1-3Crotone
  • Crotone3-1Sorrento Calcio
  • Sorrento Calcio2-1Crotone
  • Crotone1-2Sorrento Calcio
  • Sorrento Calcio1-1Crotone
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sorrento Calcio 1458 · Crotone 1498
Sorrento CalcioDrawCrotone
Our model47%29%25%
Market47%29%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Crotone (rating 1458 vs 1498).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sorrento CalcioCrotone
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.61.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.90.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 41.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 04.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sorrento Calcio 222 Crotone

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/03/26
Italy Serie C Group C
Sorrento Calcio2-2
HT 1-1
Crotone
25/11/25
Italy Serie C Cup
Sorrento Calcio1-3
HT 1-0
Crotone
15/11/25
Italy Serie C Group C
Crotone3-1
HT 2-0
Sorrento Calcio
01/02/25
Italy Serie C Group C
Sorrento Calcio2-1
HT 2-0
Crotone
25/09/24
Italy Serie C Group C
Crotone1-2
HT 1-0
Sorrento Calcio
03/02/24
Italy Serie C Group C
Sorrento Calcio1-1
HT 1-1
Crotone

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Potenza 1100 413
2 Bari 1100 303
3 Audace Cerignola 1100 313
4 AZ Picerno ASD 1100 323
5 Sorrento Calcio 1100 213
5 Inter Milan U23 1100 213
7 Foggia 1100 103
7 Team Altamura 1100 103
9 Casertana 1010 331
9 Giugliano 1010 331
9 Scafatese 1010 331
9 Barletta 1010 331
13 AC Savoia 1908 1001 230
14 Catania 1001 120
14 Salernitana 1001 120
16 Monopoli 1001 010
17 Cosenza 1001 130
18 Casarano 1001 140
19 Cavese 1001 030
20 Crotone 1001 01-6

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSorrento CalcioCrotone
Salernitana 2-1 W 0-1 L
Audace Cerignola 2-3 L 3-1 W
US Latina Calcio 0-2 L 2-5 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sorrento Calcio (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sorrento Calcio

LLLDLWLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/08 Salernitana
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 2-1 45 W
26/04 AZ Picerno ASD
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 D
19/04 Atalanta U23
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-1 25 D
12/04 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-3 62 L
06/04 Team Altamura
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-0 65 W
30/03 Casertana
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-2 89 L
22/03 Crotone
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 2-2 23 D
15/03 Audace Cerignola
Italy Serie C Group C
1-2 2-3 27 L
08/03 Benevento
Italy Serie C Group C
0-2 0-2 42 L
05/03 US Latina Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-2 25 L

Crotone

WWLDWLWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/08 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-1 64 L
26/04 US Latina Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
2-1 2-5 34 L
19/04 Casarano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 2-1 14 W
13/04 Catania
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-0 43 W
06/04 Giugliano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-1 102 L
29/03 Audace Cerignola
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 3-1 56 W
22/03 Sorrento Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 2-2 03 D
15/03 Salernitana
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-1 48 L
08/03 Trapani
Italy Serie C Group C
2-1 4-1 15 W
05/03 Cavese
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-0 14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sorrento Calcio vs Crotone?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sorrento Calcio win (47%). Probabilities: Sorrento Calcio 47%, draw 29%, Crotone 25%.

How many goals are expected in Sorrento Calcio vs Crotone?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Sorrento Calcio 1.47 · Crotone 1.01), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sorrento Calcio vs Crotone?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.