Prediction: Salernitana vs Sorrento Calcio
Team pages: Salernitana · Sorrento Calcio
- Sorrento Calcio0-2Salernitana
- Salernitana2-1Sorrento Calcio
- Salernitana1-1Sorrento Calcio
| Salernitana | Draw | Sorrento Calcio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 25% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 24% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salernitana (rating 1551 vs 1435).
- H2H favours Salernitana: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Salernitana | Sorrento Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 2.3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Salernitana 2–1–0 Sorrento Calcio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Italy Serie C Group C | Sorrento Calcio | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Salernitana |
| 14/09/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Salernitana | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Sorrento Calcio |
| 17/08/25 Italy Serie C Cup | Salernitana | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sorrento Calcio |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Bari | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Audace Cerignola | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Casertana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 | Giugliano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 | Scafatese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 | Barletta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 8 | AC Savoia 1908 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Sorrento Calcio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | AZ Picerno ASD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Foggia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Catania | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Crotone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Inter Milan U23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Monopoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Team Altamura | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Salernitana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Cosenza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Casarano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | Cavese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Salernitana | Sorrento Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| AZ Picerno ASD | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Benevento | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Potenza | 2-5 L | 0-3 L |
| Team Altamura | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Crotone | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| US Latina Calcio | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Casertana | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Salernitana (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salernitana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04 | Foggia Italy Serie C Group C |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Trapani Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Benevento Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
2-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 23/03 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 08/03 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 05/03 | Casertana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 01/03 | Catania Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
Sorrento Calcio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04 | AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/03 | Casertana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 22/03 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/03 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 08/03 | Benevento Italy Serie C Group C |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/03 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 01/03 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salernitana vs Sorrento Calcio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Salernitana win (59%). Probabilities: Salernitana 59%, draw 25%, Sorrento Calcio 16%.
How many goals are expected in Salernitana vs Sorrento Calcio?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Salernitana 1.75 · Sorrento Calcio 0.79), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Salernitana vs Sorrento Calcio?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.