Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 06/09, 21:00
Prediction: Foggia vs Audace Cerignola
Team pages: Foggia · Audace Cerignola
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Foggia1.21
Audace Cerignola1.05
1X2
Foggia
Draw
Audace Cerignola
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Foggia
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Audace Cerignola
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Foggia
0–1–5
Audace Cerignola
(6 last)
- Foggia1-3Audace Cerignola
- Audace Cerignola0-0Foggia
- Audace Cerignola3-2Foggia
- Foggia0-1Audace Cerignola
- Foggia1-2Audace Cerignola
- Audace Cerignola2-0Foggia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Foggia 1446 · Audace Cerignola 1496
| Foggia | Draw | Audace Cerignola | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 31% | 30% |
| Market | 39% | 30% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Audace Cerignola (rating 1446 vs 1496).
- H2H favours Audace Cerignola: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Foggia | Audace Cerignola | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.2 | 2.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Foggia 0–1–5 Audace Cerignola
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Italy Serie C Group C | Foggia | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Audace Cerignola |
| 20/09/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Audace Cerignola | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Foggia |
| 12/03/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Audace Cerignola | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Foggia |
| 31/10/24 Italy Serie C Group C | Foggia | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Audace Cerignola |
| 21/04/24 Italy Serie C Group C | Foggia | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Audace Cerignola |
| 18/12/23 Italy Serie C Group C | Audace Cerignola | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Foggia |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | AZ Picerno ASD | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Sorrento Calcio | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Barletta | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Casertana | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Inter Milan U23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Team Altamura | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Foggia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Monopoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Audace Cerignola | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Bari | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Cavese | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Casarano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 14 | Giugliano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Scafatese | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | AC Savoia 1908 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | Cosenza | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 | Catania | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | Crotone | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Foggia | Audace Cerignola |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Cosenza | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Cavese | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Benevento | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Foggia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 24/08 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
1-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Siracusa Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 04/04 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | Trapani Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Cavese Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 15/03 | Benevento Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/03 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
Audace Cerignola
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Cavese Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Benevento Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 19/04 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 12/04 | Casertana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/03 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 22/03 | Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 15/03 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 09/03 | Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Foggia vs Audace Cerignola?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Foggia win (39%). Probabilities: Foggia 39%, draw 31%, Audace Cerignola 31%.
How many goals are expected in Foggia vs Audace Cerignola?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Foggia 1.21 · Audace Cerignola 1.05), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Foggia vs Audace Cerignola?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.