Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 07/09, 20:30
Prediction: Catania vs Cosenza
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Catania1.77
Cosenza0.65
1X2
Catania
Draw
Cosenza
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Catania
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Cosenza
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Catania
2–1–3
Cosenza
(6 last)
- Catania2-0Cosenza
- Cosenza4-1Catania
- Catania2-2Cosenza
- Catania1-2Cosenza
- Cosenza0-1Catania
- Catania0-2Cosenza
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Catania 1442 · Cosenza 1479
| Catania | Draw | Cosenza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 25% | 12% |
| Market | 63% | 25% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cosenza: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Catania | Cosenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.3 | 1.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Catania 2–1–3 Cosenza
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Italy Serie C Group C | Catania | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cosenza |
| 14/09/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Cosenza | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Catania |
| 11/02/18 Italy Serie C Group C | Catania | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Cosenza |
| 22/11/17 Italy Serie C Cup | Catania | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Cosenza |
| 30/09/17 Italy Serie C Group C | Cosenza | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Catania |
| 15/04/17 Italy Serie C Group C | Catania | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Cosenza |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | AZ Picerno ASD | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Sorrento Calcio | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Barletta | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Casertana | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Inter Milan U23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Team Altamura | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Foggia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Monopoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Audace Cerignola | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Bari | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Cavese | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Casarano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 14 | Giugliano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Scafatese | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | AC Savoia 1908 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | Cosenza | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 | Catania | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | Crotone | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Catania | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| Potenza | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| AZ Picerno ASD | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| US Latina Calcio | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Casarano | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Team Altamura | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Catania (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Catania
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 13/04 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 28/03 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/03 | Casarano Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 15/03 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 09/03 | Casertana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
Cosenza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Cavese Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | Trapani Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 13/04 | AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Foggia Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 29/03 | Benevento Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 22/03 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 14/03 | Casarano Italy Serie C Group C |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 08/03 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Catania vs Cosenza?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Catania win (63%). Probabilities: Catania 63%, draw 25%, Cosenza 12%.
How many goals are expected in Catania vs Cosenza?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Catania 1.77 · Cosenza 0.65), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Catania vs Cosenza?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.