Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 06/09, 15:00

Prediction: Salernitana vs Cavese

Team pages: Salernitana · Cavese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Salernitana1.45
Cavese0.88
1X2
50% 28% 22%
Salernitana Draw Cavese
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Salernitana 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLLWWWLD
Cavese 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
WDDLDWDDLW
Head-to-head
Salernitana 1–1–0 Cavese (2 last)
  • Cavese1-1Salernitana
  • Salernitana3-2Cavese
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Salernitana 1525 · Cavese 1493
SalernitanaDrawCavese
Our model49%29%22%
Market50%27%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SalernitanaCavese
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.41.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.80.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.82.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.33.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Salernitana 110 Cavese

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/02/26
Italy Serie C Group C
Cavese1-1
HT 0-1
Salernitana
05/10/25
Italy Serie C Group C
Salernitana3-2
HT 0-0
Cavese

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Potenza 2200 626
2 AZ Picerno ASD 2200 526
3 Sorrento Calcio 2200 316
4 Barletta 2110 634
5 Casertana 2110 544
6 Inter Milan U23 2110 324
7 Team Altamura 2110 214
7 Foggia 2110 214
9 Monopoli 2101 213
10 Audace Cerignola 2101 443
11 Bari 2101 333
12 Cavese 2101 343
13 Casarano 2101 573
14 Giugliano 2011 671
15 Salernitana 2011 231
16 Scafatese 2011 351
17 AC Savoia 1908 2002 350
18 Cosenza 2002 250
19 Catania 2002 140
20 Crotone 2002 02-6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSalernitanaCavese
Foggia 1-1 D 0-0 D
AZ Picerno ASD 2-1 W 2-0 W
Benevento 0-1 L 1-0 W
Potenza 2-5 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Cavese (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Salernitana

WWWLLWWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-1 32 D
24/08 Sorrento Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 1-2 65 L
26/04 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
2-1 3-1 54 W
19/04 AZ Picerno ASD
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 2-1 16 W
12/04 Trapani
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 2-1 104 W
06/04 Benevento
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-1 44 L
28/03 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
2-3 2-5 72 L
23/03 Team Altamura
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 2-1 84 W
15/03 Crotone
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-0 28 W
08/03 US Latina Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-1 26 W

Cavese

WDDLDWDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 Audace Cerignola
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 3-1 73 W
21/08 Bari
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-3 83 L
26/04 Cosenza
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-1 72 D
19/04 Siracusa
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-1 31 D
13/04 Benevento
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-0 02 W
08/04 Atalanta U23
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-1 54 D
04/04 Casertana
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-1 33 L
22/03 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 37 D
14/03 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 2-2 73 D
08/03 AZ Picerno ASD
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-0 47 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Salernitana vs Cavese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Salernitana win (50%). Probabilities: Salernitana 50%, draw 28%, Cavese 22%.

How many goals are expected in Salernitana vs Cavese?

The model expects 2.34 goals (Salernitana 1.45 · Cavese 0.88), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Salernitana vs Cavese?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.