Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 05/09, 21:00
Prediction: Giugliano vs Sorrento Calcio
Team pages: Giugliano · Sorrento Calcio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.1Total
Giugliano1.13
Sorrento Calcio0.97
1X2
Giugliano
Draw
Sorrento Calcio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Giugliano
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Sorrento Calcio
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Giugliano
1–1–4
Sorrento Calcio
(6 last)
- Giugliano0-0Sorrento Calcio
- Sorrento Calcio1-0Giugliano
- Giugliano0-1Sorrento Calcio
- Giugliano5-0Sorrento Calcio
- Sorrento Calcio3-0Giugliano
- Sorrento Calcio2-0Giugliano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giugliano 1450 · Sorrento Calcio 1519
| Giugliano | Draw | Sorrento Calcio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 33% | 30% |
| Market | 39% | 30% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sorrento Calcio (rating 1450 vs 1519).
- H2H favours Sorrento Calcio: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Giugliano | Sorrento Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.4 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 4.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Giugliano 1–1–4 Sorrento Calcio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/26 Italy Serie C Cup | Giugliano | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sorrento Calcio |
| 10/02/26 Italy Serie C Group C | Sorrento Calcio | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Giugliano |
| 29/09/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Giugliano | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sorrento Calcio |
| 12/04/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Giugliano | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Sorrento Calcio |
| 02/12/24 Italy Serie C Group C | Sorrento Calcio | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Giugliano |
| 07/01/24 Italy Serie C Group C | Sorrento Calcio | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Giugliano |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | AZ Picerno ASD | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Sorrento Calcio | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Barletta | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Casertana | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Inter Milan U23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Team Altamura | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Foggia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Monopoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Audace Cerignola | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Bari | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Cavese | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Casarano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 14 | Giugliano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Scafatese | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | AC Savoia 1908 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | Cosenza | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 | Catania | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | Crotone | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Giugliano | Sorrento Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Casertana | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Benevento | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Team Altamura | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Crotone | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Audace Cerignola | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Atalanta U23 | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Giugliano (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giugliano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Casarano Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | Scafatese Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Casertana Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Benevento Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 4 | D |
| 06/04 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/03 | Casarano Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/03 | Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/03 | Siracusa Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Sorrento Calcio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/03 | Casertana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 22/03 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/03 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 08/03 | Benevento Italy Serie C Group C |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giugliano vs Sorrento Calcio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Giugliano win (38%). Probabilities: Giugliano 38%, draw 31%, Sorrento Calcio 30%.
How many goals are expected in Giugliano vs Sorrento Calcio?
The model expects 2.1 goals (Giugliano 1.13 · Sorrento Calcio 0.97), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Giugliano vs Sorrento Calcio?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.