Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 15/09, 18:30
Prediction: AZ Picerno ASD vs Catania
Team pages: AZ Picerno ASD · Catania
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
AZ Picerno ASD1.08
Catania1.48
1X2
AZ Picerno ASD
Draw
Catania
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
AZ Picerno ASD
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Catania
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AZ Picerno ASD
2–2–2
Catania
(6 last)
- Catania1-2AZ Picerno ASD
- AZ Picerno ASD0-1Catania
- AZ Picerno ASD1-1Catania
- Catania0-0AZ Picerno ASD
- AZ Picerno ASD1-0Catania
- Catania3-2AZ Picerno ASD
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AZ Picerno ASD 1539 · Catania 1442
| AZ Picerno ASD | Draw | Catania | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 28% | 45% |
| Market | 26% | 29% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AZ Picerno ASD (rating 1539 vs 1442).
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AZ Picerno ASD | Catania | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.9 | 2.6 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AZ Picerno ASD 2–2–2 Catania
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 Italy Serie C Group C | Catania | 1-2 HT 1-2 | AZ Picerno ASD |
| 29/11/25 Italy Serie C Group C | AZ Picerno ASD | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Catania |
| 19/01/25 Italy Serie C Group C | AZ Picerno ASD | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Catania |
| 14/09/24 Italy Serie C Group C | Catania | 0-0 HT 0-0 | AZ Picerno ASD |
| 06/02/24 Italy Serie C Group C | AZ Picerno ASD | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Catania |
| 08/11/23 Italy Serie C Cup | Catania | 3-2 HT 2-0 | AZ Picerno ASD |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sorrento Calcio | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Audace Cerignola | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | AZ Picerno ASD | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Bari | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Potenza | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Casertana | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Casarano | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 9 | Barletta | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| 10 | Salernitana | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| 11 | Scafatese | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 12 | Cavese | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | AC Savoia 1908 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 14 | Foggia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | Inter Milan U23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| 16 | Team Altamura | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | Catania | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 1 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| 20 | Crotone | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AZ Picerno ASD | Catania |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan U23 | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Scafatese | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Cosenza | 3-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Monopoli | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: AZ Picerno ASD (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AZ Picerno ASD
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 07/09 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 28/08 | Scafatese Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 13/04 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/04 | Catania Italy Serie C Group C |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 29/03 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | Siracusa Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
Catania
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Scafatese Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 07/09 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 13/04 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 28/03 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/03 | Casarano Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AZ Picerno ASD vs Catania?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Catania win (45%). Probabilities: AZ Picerno ASD 26%, draw 29%, Catania 45%.
How many goals are expected in AZ Picerno ASD vs Catania?
The model expects 2.56 goals (AZ Picerno ASD 1.08 · Catania 1.48), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in AZ Picerno ASD vs Catania?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.