Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 15/09, 21:00
Prediction: Cavese vs Sorrento Calcio
Team pages: Cavese · Sorrento Calcio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.72Total
Cavese0.98
Sorrento Calcio0.74
1X2
Cavese
Draw
Sorrento Calcio
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Cavese
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Sorrento Calcio
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cavese
3–1–0
Sorrento Calcio
(4 last)
- Cavese1-0Sorrento Calcio
- Sorrento Calcio0-0Cavese
- Cavese1-0Sorrento Calcio
- Sorrento Calcio1-3Cavese
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cavese 1499 · Sorrento Calcio 1545
| Cavese | Draw | Sorrento Calcio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 36% | 25% |
| Market | 41% | 31% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.72 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sorrento Calcio (rating 1499 vs 1545).
- H2H favours Cavese: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cavese | Sorrento Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.5 | 2.2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cavese 3–1–0 Sorrento Calcio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/26 Italy Serie C Group C | Cavese | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sorrento Calcio |
| 24/08/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Sorrento Calcio | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cavese |
| 27/04/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Cavese | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sorrento Calcio |
| 14/12/24 Italy Serie C Group C | Sorrento Calcio | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Cavese |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sorrento Calcio | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Audace Cerignola | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | AZ Picerno ASD | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Bari | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Potenza | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Casertana | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Casarano | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 9 | Barletta | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| 10 | Salernitana | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| 11 | Scafatese | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 12 | Cavese | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | AC Savoia 1908 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 14 | Foggia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | Inter Milan U23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| 16 | Team Altamura | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | Catania | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 1 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| 20 | Crotone | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cavese | Sorrento Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Atalanta U23 | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Casertana | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cavese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 28/08 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | Bari Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | Siracusa Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 13/04 | Benevento Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 08/04 | Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 04/04 | Casertana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Foggia Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
Sorrento Calcio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/03 | Casertana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 22/03 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cavese vs Sorrento Calcio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cavese win (40%). Probabilities: Cavese 40%, draw 33%, Sorrento Calcio 27%.
How many goals are expected in Cavese vs Sorrento Calcio?
The model expects 1.72 goals (Cavese 0.98 · Sorrento Calcio 0.74), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Cavese vs Sorrento Calcio?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.