Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 15/09, 18:30

Prediction: Giugliano vs Cosenza

Team pages: Giugliano · Cosenza

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Giugliano1.42

Cosenza1.24

1X2

40% 29% 31%

Giugliano Draw Cosenza

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Giugliano 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDDDDLLL

Cosenza 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDLLLD

Head-to-head

Giugliano 1–1 Cosenza (2 last)

Giugliano3-0Cosenza
Cosenza4-1Giugliano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Giugliano 1440 · Cosenza 1461

	Giugliano	Draw	Cosenza
Our model	40%	28%	32%
Market	39%	29%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Giugliano	Cosenza
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.9	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.5	1.6 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.10

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.61 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.2% Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:59 +7’	2.30	3.10	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:23 +44’	2.61	3.04	2.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Giugliano 1–0–1 Cosenza

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Italy Serie C Group C	Giugliano	3-0 HT 1-0	Cosenza
24/09/25 Italy Serie C Group C	Cosenza	4-1 HT 0-0	Giugliano

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sorrento Calcio	4	4	0	0	6	1	12
2	Audace Cerignola	4	3	0	1	10	4	9
3	AZ Picerno ASD	4	3	0	1	9	4	9
4	Bari	4	3	0	1	7	3	9
5	Potenza	4	3	0	1	9	6	9
6	Casertana	4	2	2	0	10	8	8
7	Monopoli	4	2	0	2	3	2	6
8	Casarano	4	2	0	2	8	9	6
9	Barletta	4	1	2	1	9	8	5
10	Salernitana	4	1	2	1	7	6	5
11	Scafatese	4	1	2	1	7	8	5
12	Cavese	4	1	2	1	4	5	5
13	AC Savoia 1908	4	1	1	2	6	6	4
14	Foggia	4	1	1	2	2	4	4
15	Inter Milan U23	4	1	1	2	6	9	4
16	Team Altamura	4	1	1	2	2	6	4
17	Catania	4	1	0	3	6	6	3
18	Giugliano	4	0	1	3	6	13	1
19	Cosenza	4	0	1	3	2	9	1
20	Crotone	4	0	2	2	3	5	-4

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Giugliano	Cosenza
Audace Cerignola	0-4 L	1-3 L
Benevento	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cosenza (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Giugliano

LLWDDDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C	0-2	0-4	4	6	L
05/09	Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C	0-2	0-2	4	3	L
28/08	Casarano Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	3-4	1	4	L
21/08	Scafatese Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	3-3	7	2	D
26/04	Casertana Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
19/04	Benevento Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
12/04	Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	1-1	14	4	D
06/04	Crotone Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
29/03	Casarano Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
22/03	Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-1	3	1	L

Cosenza

WDWLWDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Cavese Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
07/09	Catania Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	0-4	3	4	L
29/08	Potenza Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
22/08	Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	1-3	5	6	L
26/04	Cavese Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
19/04	Trapani Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
13/04	AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	1-3	2	5	L
04/04	Foggia Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
29/03	Benevento Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	1-1	1	6	D
22/03	US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	3-1	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Giugliano vs Cosenza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Giugliano win (40%). Probabilities: Giugliano 40%, draw 29%, Cosenza 31%.

How many goals are expected in Giugliano vs Cosenza?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Giugliano 1.42 · Cosenza 1.24), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Giugliano vs Cosenza?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.