Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 15/09, 18:30
Prediction: Casertana vs Team Altamura
Team pages: Casertana · Team Altamura
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Casertana1.72
Team Altamura1.09
1X2
Casertana
Draw
Team Altamura
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Casertana
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Team Altamura
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Casertana
2–2–2
Team Altamura
(6 last)
- Team Altamura0-2Casertana
- Casertana3-1Team Altamura
- Team Altamura2-0Casertana
- Casertana1-1Team Altamura
- Team Altamura3-1Casertana
- Casertana1-1Team Altamura
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Casertana 1549 · Team Altamura 1451
| Casertana | Draw | Team Altamura | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 26% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 29% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Casertana (rating 1549 vs 1451).
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Casertana | Team Altamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.5 | 0.9 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Casertana 2–2–2 Team Altamura
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/26 Italy Serie C Group C | Team Altamura | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Casertana |
| 25/08/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Casertana | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Team Altamura |
| 12/03/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Team Altamura | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Casertana |
| 31/10/24 Italy Serie C Group C | Casertana | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Team Altamura |
| 06/02/22 Italy Serie D | Team Altamura | 3-1 | Casertana |
| 03/10/21 Italy Serie D | Casertana | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Team Altamura |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sorrento Calcio | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Audace Cerignola | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | AZ Picerno ASD | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Bari | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Potenza | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Casertana | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Casarano | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 9 | Barletta | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| 10 | Salernitana | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| 11 | Scafatese | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 12 | Cavese | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | AC Savoia 1908 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 14 | Foggia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | Inter Milan U23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| 16 | Team Altamura | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | Catania | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 1 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| 20 | Crotone | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Casertana | Team Altamura |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan U23 | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| AC Savoia 1908 | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Giugliano | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Audace Cerignola | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Sorrento Calcio | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Casertana (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Casertana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Scafatese Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Barletta Italy Serie C Group C |
2-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
4-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | Cavese Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/03 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 21/03 | Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Team Altamura
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Bari Italy Serie C Group C |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 24/08 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Casarano Italy Serie C Group C |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 12/04 | Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 06/04 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | Siracusa Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/03 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Casertana vs Team Altamura?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Casertana win (50%). Probabilities: Casertana 50%, draw 28%, Team Altamura 22%.
How many goals are expected in Casertana vs Team Altamura?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Casertana 1.72 · Team Altamura 1.09), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Casertana vs Team Altamura?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.