Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 11/09, 21:00
Prediction: Audace Cerignola vs Giugliano
Team pages: Audace Cerignola · Giugliano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Audace Cerignola1.74
Giugliano0.9
1X2
Audace Cerignola
Draw
Giugliano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Audace Cerignola
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Giugliano
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Audace Cerignola
5–1–0
Giugliano
(6 last)
- Audace Cerignola1-0Giugliano
- Giugliano0-1Audace Cerignola
- Giugliano1-3Audace Cerignola
- Audace Cerignola3-1Giugliano
- Audace Cerignola1-1Giugliano
- Audace Cerignola3-0Giugliano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Audace Cerignola 1520 · Giugliano 1448
| Audace Cerignola | Draw | Giugliano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 26% | 18% |
| Market | 56% | 26% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Audace Cerignola (rating 1520 vs 1448).
- H2H favours Audace Cerignola: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Audace Cerignola | Giugliano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.7 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Audace Cerignola 5–1–0 Giugliano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Italy Serie C Group C | Audace Cerignola | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Giugliano |
| 16/11/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Giugliano | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Audace Cerignola |
| 17/01/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Giugliano | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Audace Cerignola |
| 15/09/24 Italy Serie C Group C | Audace Cerignola | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Giugliano |
| 07/05/24 Italy Serie C Play-Offs | Audace Cerignola | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Giugliano |
| 27/04/24 Italy Serie C Group C | Audace Cerignola | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Giugliano |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Picerno ASD | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Potenza | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Sorrento Calcio | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Audace Cerignola | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Bari | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Barletta | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 5 |
| 7 | Casertana | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| 8 | Cavese | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Team Altamura | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Foggia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Inter Milan U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Catania | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | AC Savoia 1908 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Monopoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Casarano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 | Salernitana | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Scafatese | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 1 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 | Crotone | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Audace Cerignola | Giugliano |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Team Altamura | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Casertana | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Crotone | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Sorrento Calcio | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Giugliano (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Audace Cerignola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Foggia Italy Serie C Group C |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | Cavese Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Benevento Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 19/04 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 12/04 | Casertana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/03 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 22/03 | Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 15/03 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
Giugliano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | Casarano Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | Scafatese Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Casertana Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Benevento Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 4 | D |
| 06/04 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/03 | Casarano Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/03 | Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Audace Cerignola vs Giugliano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Audace Cerignola win (56%). Probabilities: Audace Cerignola 56%, draw 26%, Giugliano 18%.
How many goals are expected in Audace Cerignola vs Giugliano?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Audace Cerignola 1.74 · Giugliano 0.9), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Audace Cerignola vs Giugliano?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.