Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 19/09, 20:30

Prediction: Team Altamura vs AZ Picerno ASD

Team pages: Team Altamura · AZ Picerno ASD

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.29Total

Team Altamura1.03

AZ Picerno ASD1.25

1X2

29% 30% 40%

Team Altamura Draw AZ Picerno ASD

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Team Altamura 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDDLWDLL

AZ Picerno ASD 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWLDWWWL

Head-to-head

Team Altamura 1–2–3 AZ Picerno ASD (6 last)

AZ Picerno ASD0-0Team Altamura
Team Altamura3-1AZ Picerno ASD
Team Altamura1-2AZ Picerno ASD
AZ Picerno ASD2-0Team Altamura
AZ Picerno ASD1-1Team Altamura
Team Altamura1-2AZ Picerno ASD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Team Altamura 1460 · AZ Picerno ASD 1532

	Team Altamura	Draw	AZ Picerno ASD
Our model	29%	31%	40%
Market	30%	30%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AZ Picerno ASD (rating 1460 vs 1532).
H2H favours AZ Picerno ASD: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Team Altamura	AZ Picerno ASD
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.6	1.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.9 / 2.3	3.1 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.00

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.05

Under 2.251.75

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:42 +1’	3.00	3.00	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Team Altamura 1–2–3 AZ Picerno ASD

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Italy Serie C Group C	AZ Picerno ASD	0-0 HT 0-0	Team Altamura
19/10/25 Italy Serie C Group C	Team Altamura	3-1 HT 3-0	AZ Picerno ASD
05/04/25 Italy Serie C Group C	Team Altamura	1-2 HT 0-0	AZ Picerno ASD
22/11/24 Italy Serie C Group C	AZ Picerno ASD	2-0 HT 1-0	Team Altamura
18/08/24 Italy Serie C Cup	AZ Picerno ASD	1-1 HT 1-0	Team Altamura
25/04/21 Italy Serie D	Team Altamura	1-2 HT 0-2	AZ Picerno ASD

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sorrento Calcio	4	4	0	0	6	1	12
2	Audace Cerignola	4	3	0	1	10	4	9
3	AZ Picerno ASD	4	3	0	1	9	4	9
4	Bari	4	3	0	1	7	3	9
5	Potenza	4	3	0	1	9	6	9
6	Casertana	4	2	2	0	10	8	8
7	Monopoli	4	2	0	2	3	2	6
8	Casarano	4	2	0	2	8	9	6
9	Barletta	4	1	2	1	9	8	5
10	Salernitana	4	1	2	1	7	6	5
11	Scafatese	4	1	2	1	7	8	5
12	Cavese	4	1	2	1	4	5	5
13	AC Savoia 1908	4	1	1	2	6	6	4
14	Foggia	4	1	1	2	2	4	4
15	Inter Milan U23	4	1	1	2	6	9	4
16	Team Altamura	4	1	1	2	2	6	4
17	Catania	4	1	0	3	6	6	3
18	Giugliano	4	0	1	3	6	13	1
19	Cosenza	4	0	1	3	2	9	1
20	Crotone	4	0	2	2	3	5	-4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Team Altamura	AZ Picerno ASD
AC Savoia 1908	0-2 L	3-2 W
Inter Milan U23	1-1 D	4-1 W
Monopoli	1-0 W	0-0 D
Sorrento Calcio	0-2 L	0-1 L
Siracusa	1-0 W	1-2 L
Salernitana	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: AZ Picerno ASD (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Team Altamura

LWLDDLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Bari Italy Serie C Group C	0-2	0-3	6	5	L
06/09	AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
29/08	Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-1	0	5	D
24/08	Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
26/04	Casarano Italy Serie C Group C	0-2	0-4	1	2	L
19/04	Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	1-1	3	2	D
12/04	Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
06/04	Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
29/03	Siracusa Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
23/03	Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	1-2	1	4	L

AZ Picerno ASD

LDWWLDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	0-1	8	1	L
07/09	Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C	2-0	4-1	7	6	W
28/08	Scafatese Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	2-0	9	4	W
23/08	AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	3-2	6	5	W
26/04	Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
19/04	Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	1-2	7	6	L
13/04	Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	3-1	5	5	W
06/04	Catania Italy Serie C Group C	2-1	2-1	4	7	W
29/03	Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
22/03	Siracusa Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-2	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Team Altamura vs AZ Picerno ASD?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AZ Picerno ASD win (40%). Probabilities: Team Altamura 29%, draw 30%, AZ Picerno ASD 40%.

How many goals are expected in Team Altamura vs AZ Picerno ASD?

The model expects 2.29 goals (Team Altamura 1.03 · AZ Picerno ASD 1.25), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Team Altamura vs AZ Picerno ASD?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.