Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 19/09, 20:30

Prediction: Salernitana vs Giugliano

Team pages: Salernitana · Giugliano

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Salernitana1.94
Giugliano0.93
1X2
59% 24% 16%
Salernitana Draw Giugliano
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Salernitana 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLLWWWLDDW
Giugliano 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LLWDDDDLLL
Head-to-head
Salernitana 1–1–0 Giugliano (2 last)
  • Salernitana1-1Giugliano
  • Giugliano1-2Salernitana
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Salernitana 1533 · Giugliano 1432
SalernitanaDrawGiugliano
Our model60%24%17%
Market59%25%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salernitana (rating 1533 vs 1432).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SalernitanaGiugliano
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.61 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.90.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 5.42 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.23.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Salernitana 110 Giugliano

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/02/26
Italy Serie C Group C
Salernitana1-1
HT 1-0
Giugliano
21/09/25
Italy Serie C Group C
Giugliano1-2
HT 1-1
Salernitana

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sorrento Calcio 4400 6112
2 Audace Cerignola 4301 1049
3 AZ Picerno ASD 4301 949
4 Bari 4301 739
5 Potenza 4301 969
6 Casertana 4220 1088
7 Monopoli 4202 326
8 Casarano 4202 896
9 Barletta 4121 985
10 Salernitana 4121 765
11 Scafatese 4121 785
12 Cavese 4121 455
13 AC Savoia 1908 4112 664
14 Foggia 4112 244
15 Inter Milan U23 4112 694
16 Team Altamura 4112 264
17 Catania 4103 663
18 Giugliano 4013 6131
19 Cosenza 4013 291
20 Crotone 4022 35-4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSalernitanaGiugliano
Sorrento Calcio 1-2 L 0-2 L
Benevento 0-1 L 1-1 D
Team Altamura 2-1 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Salernitana (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Salernitana

WLLWWWLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/09 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
3-1 4-2 35 W
06/09 Cavese
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-1 78 D
29/08 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-1 32 D
24/08 Sorrento Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 1-2 65 L
26/04 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
2-1 3-1 54 W
19/04 AZ Picerno ASD
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 2-1 16 W
12/04 Trapani
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 2-1 104 W
06/04 Benevento
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-1 44 L
28/03 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
2-3 2-5 72 L
23/03 Team Altamura
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 2-1 84 W

Giugliano

LLWDDDDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/09 Audace Cerignola
Italy Serie C Group C
0-2 0-4 46 L
05/09 Sorrento Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
0-2 0-2 43 L
28/08 Casarano
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 3-4 14 L
21/08 Scafatese
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 3-3 72 D
26/04 Casertana
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 1-1 44 D
19/04 Benevento
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-1 43 D
12/04 Team Altamura
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-1 144 D
06/04 Crotone
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-0 32 W
29/03 Casarano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-2 13 L
22/03 Audace Cerignola
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-1 31 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Salernitana vs Giugliano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Salernitana win (59%). Probabilities: Salernitana 59%, draw 24%, Giugliano 16%.

How many goals are expected in Salernitana vs Giugliano?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Salernitana 1.94 · Giugliano 0.93), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Salernitana vs Giugliano?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.