Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 12/09, 15:00

Prediction: Cosenza vs Cavese

Team pages: Cosenza · Cavese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Cosenza1.07
Cavese1.17
1X2
32% 31% 37%
Cosenza Draw Cavese
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Cosenza 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWDWLWDLLL
Cavese 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
DDLDWDDLWD
Head-to-head
Cosenza 1–1–0 Cavese (2 last)
  • Cavese1-1Cosenza
  • Cosenza2-1Cavese
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cosenza 1463 · Cavese 1486
CosenzaDrawCavese
Our model32%31%37%
Market33%30%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CosenzaCavese
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.71 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.80.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.12.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.13.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cosenza 110 Cavese

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
Italy Serie C Group C
Cavese1-1
HT 0-1
Cosenza
19/12/25
Italy Serie C Group C
Cosenza2-1
HT 1-0
Cavese

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 AZ Picerno ASD 3300 939
2 Potenza 3300 729
3 Sorrento Calcio 3300 519
4 Audace Cerignola 3201 646
5 Bari 3201 436
6 Barletta 3120 855
7 Casertana 3120 765
8 Cavese 3111 454
9 Team Altamura 3111 234
9 Foggia 3111 234
11 Inter Milan U23 3111 464
12 Catania 3102 543
13 AC Savoia 1908 3102 553
14 Monopoli 3102 223
15 Casarano 3102 583
16 Salernitana 3021 342
17 Scafatese 3021 572
18 Giugliano 3012 691
19 Cosenza 3003 290
20 Crotone 3012 24-5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCosenzaCavese
Potenza 1-2 L 2-2 D
Audace Cerignola 1-3 L 3-1 W
Foggia 1-0 W 0-0 D
Benevento 1-1 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Cavese (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cosenza

LWDWLWDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/09 Catania
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-4 34 L
29/08 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-2 64 L
22/08 Audace Cerignola
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 1-3 56 L
26/04 Cavese
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-1 22 D
19/04 Trapani
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-0 93 W
13/04 AZ Picerno ASD
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 1-3 25 L
04/04 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-0 25 W
29/03 Benevento
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 1-1 16 D
22/03 US Latina Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 3-1 65 W
14/03 Casarano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-2 1-2 53 L

Cavese

DDLDWDDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Salernitana
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-1 38 D
28/08 Audace Cerignola
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 3-1 73 W
21/08 Bari
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-3 83 L
26/04 Cosenza
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-1 72 D
19/04 Siracusa
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-1 31 D
13/04 Benevento
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-0 02 W
08/04 Atalanta U23
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-1 54 D
04/04 Casertana
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-1 33 L
22/03 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 37 D
14/03 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 2-2 73 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cosenza vs Cavese?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cavese win (37%). Probabilities: Cosenza 32%, draw 31%, Cavese 37%.

How many goals are expected in Cosenza vs Cavese?

The model expects 2.24 goals (Cosenza 1.07 · Cavese 1.17), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cosenza vs Cavese?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.