Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 12/09, 18:00
Prediction: Monopoli vs Foggia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.86Total
Monopoli1.11
Foggia0.75
1X2
Monopoli
Draw
Foggia
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Monopoli
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Foggia
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Monopoli
4–2
Foggia
(6 last)
- Monopoli1-0Foggia
- Foggia2-1Monopoli
- Monopoli1-0Foggia
- Foggia1-4Monopoli
- Foggia1-2Monopoli
- Foggia3-2Monopoli
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Monopoli 1453 · Foggia 1455
| Monopoli | Draw | Foggia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 34% | 23% |
| Market | 45% | 30% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.86 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Monopoli: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Monopoli | Foggia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.6 | 1.9 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Monopoli 4–0–2 Foggia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Italy Serie C Group C | Monopoli | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Foggia |
| 15/12/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Foggia | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Monopoli |
| 13/01/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Monopoli | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Foggia |
| 08/09/24 Italy Serie C Group C | Foggia | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Monopoli |
| 10/08/24 Italy Serie C Cup | Foggia | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Monopoli |
| 15/02/24 Italy Serie C Group C | Foggia | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Monopoli |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Picerno ASD | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Potenza | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Sorrento Calcio | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Audace Cerignola | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Bari | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Barletta | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 5 |
| 7 | Casertana | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| 8 | Cavese | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Team Altamura | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Foggia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Inter Milan U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Catania | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | AC Savoia 1908 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Monopoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Casarano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 | Salernitana | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Scafatese | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 1 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 | Crotone | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Monopoli | Foggia |
|---|---|---|
| Trapani | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Benevento | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Monopoli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Catania Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 19/04 | Foggia Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | Trapani Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 29/03 | AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 23/03 | Benevento Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 15/03 | Casertana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
Foggia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 24/08 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
1-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Siracusa Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 04/04 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | Trapani Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Cavese Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 15/03 | Benevento Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Monopoli vs Foggia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Monopoli win (44%). Probabilities: Monopoli 44%, draw 32%, Foggia 25%.
How many goals are expected in Monopoli vs Foggia?
The model expects 1.86 goals (Monopoli 1.11 · Foggia 0.75), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Monopoli vs Foggia?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.