Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 11/09, 21:00

Prediction: Salernitana vs Potenza

Team pages: Salernitana · Potenza

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Salernitana1.47
Potenza1.24
1X2
41% 29% 30%
Salernitana Draw Potenza
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Salernitana 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWLLWWWLDD
Potenza 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DLWLWDDWWW
Head-to-head
Salernitana 0–1–1 Potenza (2 last)
  • Potenza5-2Salernitana
  • Salernitana1-1Potenza
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Salernitana 1504 · Potenza 1531
SalernitanaDrawPotenza
Our model41%28%31%
Market41%30%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SalernitanaPotenza
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.42.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.81 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.31.9 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.13.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Salernitana 011 Potenza

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
28/03/26
Italy Serie C Group C
Potenza5-2
HT 3-2
Salernitana
23/11/25
Italy Serie C Group C
Salernitana1-1
HT 0-0
Potenza

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 AZ Picerno ASD 3300 939
2 Potenza 3300 729
3 Sorrento Calcio 3300 519
4 Audace Cerignola 3201 646
5 Bari 3201 436
6 Barletta 3120 855
7 Casertana 3120 765
8 Cavese 3111 454
9 Team Altamura 3111 234
9 Foggia 3111 234
11 Inter Milan U23 3111 464
12 Catania 3102 543
13 AC Savoia 1908 3102 553
14 Monopoli 3102 223
15 Casarano 3102 583
16 Salernitana 3021 342
17 Scafatese 3021 572
18 Giugliano 3012 691
19 Cosenza 3003 290
20 Crotone 3012 24-5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSalernitanaPotenza
Cavese 1-1 D 2-2 D
Sorrento Calcio 1-2 L 3-0 W
Trapani 2-1 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Salernitana

WWLLWWWLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Cavese
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-1 78 D
29/08 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-1 32 D
24/08 Sorrento Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 1-2 65 L
26/04 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
2-1 3-1 54 W
19/04 AZ Picerno ASD
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 2-1 16 W
12/04 Trapani
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 2-1 104 W
06/04 Benevento
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-1 44 L
28/03 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
2-3 2-5 72 L
23/03 Team Altamura
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 2-1 84 W
15/03 Crotone
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-0 28 W

Potenza

DLWLWDDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Monopoli
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-0 34 W
29/08 Cosenza
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-1 44 W
21/08 Casarano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 4-1 84 W
26/04 Monopoli
Italy Serie C Group C
2-1 2-2 31 D
19/04 Catania
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-1 17 D
12/04 Sorrento Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 3-0 42 W
06/04 Casarano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-2 52 L
28/03 Salernitana
Italy Serie C Group C
3-2 5-2 42 W
22/03 Trapani
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-2 54 L
14/03 Cavese
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 2-2 53 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Salernitana vs Potenza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Salernitana win (41%). Probabilities: Salernitana 41%, draw 29%, Potenza 30%.

How many goals are expected in Salernitana vs Potenza?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Salernitana 1.47 · Potenza 1.24), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Salernitana vs Potenza?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.