Prediction: Salernitana vs Potenza
Team pages: Salernitana · Potenza
- Potenza5-2Salernitana
- Salernitana1-1Potenza
| Salernitana | Draw | Potenza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | 41% | 30% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Salernitana | Potenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 2.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.3 | 1.9 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Salernitana 0–1–1 Potenza
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Italy Serie C Group C | Potenza | 5-2 HT 3-2 | Salernitana |
| 23/11/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Salernitana | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Potenza |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Picerno ASD | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Potenza | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Sorrento Calcio | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Audace Cerignola | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Bari | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Barletta | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 5 |
| 7 | Casertana | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| 8 | Cavese | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Team Altamura | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Foggia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Inter Milan U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Catania | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | AC Savoia 1908 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Monopoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Casarano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 | Salernitana | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Scafatese | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 1 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 | Crotone | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Salernitana | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Cavese | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Sorrento Calcio | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Trapani | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salernitana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Cavese Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 29/08 | Foggia Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 24/08 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Foggia Italy Serie C Group C |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Trapani Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Benevento Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
2-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 23/03 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
Potenza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Casarano Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 19/04 | Catania Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | Casarano Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
3-2 | 5-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | Trapani Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/03 | Cavese Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salernitana vs Potenza?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Salernitana win (41%). Probabilities: Salernitana 41%, draw 29%, Potenza 30%.
How many goals are expected in Salernitana vs Potenza?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Salernitana 1.47 · Potenza 1.24), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Salernitana vs Potenza?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

