Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 26/09, 17:30
Prediction: AZ Picerno ASD vs Audace Cerignola
Team pages: AZ Picerno ASD · Audace Cerignola
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
AZ Picerno ASD1.45
Audace Cerignola1.29
1X2
AZ Picerno ASD
Draw
Audace Cerignola
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
AZ Picerno ASD
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Audace Cerignola
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AZ Picerno ASD
2–3–1
Audace Cerignola
(6 last)
- AZ Picerno ASD1-1Audace Cerignola
- Audace Cerignola2-2AZ Picerno ASD
- AZ Picerno ASD0-0Audace Cerignola
- Audace Cerignola2-1AZ Picerno ASD
- AZ Picerno ASD2-1Audace Cerignola
- Audace Cerignola0-1AZ Picerno ASD
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AZ Picerno ASD 1517 · Audace Cerignola 1504
| AZ Picerno ASD | Draw | Audace Cerignola | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 28% | 33% |
| Market | 39% | 29% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours AZ Picerno ASD: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AZ Picerno ASD | Audace Cerignola | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6 | 2.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AZ Picerno ASD 2–3–1 Audace Cerignola
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/26 Italy Serie C Group C | AZ Picerno ASD | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Audace Cerignola |
| 25/08/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Audace Cerignola | 2-2 HT 1-2 | AZ Picerno ASD |
| 09/03/25 Italy Serie C Group C | AZ Picerno ASD | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Audace Cerignola |
| 26/10/24 Italy Serie C Group C | Audace Cerignola | 2-1 HT 0-0 | AZ Picerno ASD |
| 07/04/24 Italy Serie C Group C | AZ Picerno ASD | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Audace Cerignola |
| 03/12/23 Italy Serie C Group C | Audace Cerignola | 0-1 HT 0-1 | AZ Picerno ASD |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sorrento Calcio | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Potenza | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Bari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Casertana | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 5 | Audace Cerignola | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Inter Milan U23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| 7 | Casarano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| 8 | AZ Picerno ASD | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 9 |
| 9 | Salernitana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Monopoli | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 11 | Catania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | Barletta | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 7 |
| 13 | Scafatese | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 14 | Team Altamura | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | AC Savoia 1908 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 16 | Foggia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
| 17 | Cavese | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 4 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 2 |
| 20 | Crotone | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AZ Picerno ASD | Audace Cerignola |
|---|---|---|
| Team Altamura | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Cosenza | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Audace Cerignola (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AZ Picerno ASD
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/09 | Catania Italy Serie C Group C |
0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 07/09 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 28/08 | Scafatese Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 13/04 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/04 | Catania Italy Serie C Group C |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
Audace Cerignola
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Casertana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Casarano Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Foggia Italy Serie C Group C |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | Cavese Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Benevento Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 19/04 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 12/04 | Casertana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AZ Picerno ASD vs Audace Cerignola?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AZ Picerno ASD win (39%). Probabilities: AZ Picerno ASD 39%, draw 28%, Audace Cerignola 32%.
How many goals are expected in AZ Picerno ASD vs Audace Cerignola?
The model expects 2.74 goals (AZ Picerno ASD 1.45 · Audace Cerignola 1.29), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in AZ Picerno ASD vs Audace Cerignola?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.