Prediction: Crotone vs Salernitana
Team pages: Crotone · Salernitana
- Crotone0-1Salernitana
- Salernitana0-0Crotone
- Crotone1-1Salernitana
- Salernitana3-2Crotone
- Salernitana0-2Crotone
- Crotone1-1Salernitana
| Crotone | Draw | Salernitana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 31% | 38% |
| Market | 32% | 29% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salernitana (rating 1434 vs 1549).
- H2H favours Salernitana: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Crotone | Salernitana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.9 | 2.7 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Crotone 1–3–2 Salernitana
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Italy Serie C Group C | Crotone | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Salernitana |
| 10/11/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Salernitana | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Crotone |
| 17/07/20 Italy Serie B | Crotone | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Salernitana |
| 15/12/19 Italy Serie B | Salernitana | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Crotone |
| 10/03/19 Italy Serie B | Salernitana | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Crotone |
| 28/10/18 Italy Serie B | Crotone | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Salernitana |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sorrento Calcio | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Potenza | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Bari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Casertana | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 5 | Audace Cerignola | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Inter Milan U23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| 7 | Casarano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| 8 | AZ Picerno ASD | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 9 |
| 9 | Salernitana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Monopoli | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 11 | Catania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | Barletta | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 7 |
| 13 | Scafatese | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 14 | Team Altamura | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | AC Savoia 1908 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 16 | Foggia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
| 17 | Cavese | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 4 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 2 |
| 20 | Crotone | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Crotone | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| Barletta | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Sorrento Calcio | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Foggia | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Giugliano | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Salernitana (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Crotone
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 15/09 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Barletta Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 24/08 | Foggia Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
2-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Casarano Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 13/04 | Catania Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | L |
Salernitana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 15/09 | Barletta Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 11/09 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
3-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Cavese Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 29/08 | Foggia Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 24/08 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Foggia Italy Serie C Group C |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Trapani Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Benevento Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Crotone vs Salernitana?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Salernitana win (38%). Probabilities: Crotone 32%, draw 30%, Salernitana 38%.
How many goals are expected in Crotone vs Salernitana?
The model expects 2.35 goals (Crotone 1.11 · Salernitana 1.24), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Crotone vs Salernitana?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.