Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 04/10, 20:30

Prediction: Audace Cerignola vs Team Altamura

Team pages: Audace Cerignola · Team Altamura

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

Audace Cerignola1.53

Team Altamura0.99

1X2

49% 28% 23%

Audace Cerignola Draw Team Altamura

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Audace Cerignola 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDDWLWWLDL

Team Altamura 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDLWDLLLWL

Head-to-head

Audace Cerignola 1–4–1 Team Altamura (6 last)

Audace Cerignola1-1Team Altamura
Team Altamura1-1Audace Cerignola
Team Altamura1-0Audace Cerignola
Audace Cerignola1-1Team Altamura
Team Altamura1-1Audace Cerignola
Audace Cerignola2-0Team Altamura

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Audace Cerignola 1496 · Team Altamura 1464

	Audace Cerignola	Draw	Team Altamura
Our model	49%	28%	23%
Market	49%	28%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Audace Cerignola	Team Altamura
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	0.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.2	1.1 / 2.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.25

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.83▲	Bet365 1.83
X	3.50 → 3.25▼	Bet365 3.25
2	5.25 → 3.80▼	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:47 +15’	1.57	3.50	5.25
15:55 +4’	1.83▲	3.25▼	3.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Audace Cerignola 1–4–1 Team Altamura

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Italy Serie C Group C	Audace Cerignola	1-1 HT 1-0	Team Altamura
14/12/25 Italy Serie C Group C	Team Altamura	1-1 HT 1-1	Audace Cerignola
19/04/25 Italy Serie C Group C	Team Altamura	1-0 HT 0-0	Audace Cerignola
06/12/24 Italy Serie C Group C	Audace Cerignola	1-1 HT 1-0	Team Altamura
16/02/22 Italy Serie D	Team Altamura	1-1 HT 0-1	Audace Cerignola
24/11/21 Italy Serie D Cup	Audace Cerignola	2-0 HT 1-0	Team Altamura

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Potenza	7	5	1	1	17	9	16
2	Bari	7	5	1	1	10	4	16
3	Sorrento Calcio	7	5	0	2	10	7	15
4	AZ Picerno ASD	7	4	0	3	14	11	12
5	Casertana	7	3	3	1	12	10	12
6	Monopoli	7	3	2	2	6	4	11
7	Audace Cerignola	7	3	1	3	11	7	10
8	Catania	7	3	1	3	12	9	10
9	Scafatese	7	2	4	1	10	9	10
10	Inter Milan U23	6	3	1	2	11	11	10
11	Casarano	7	3	1	3	10	11	10
12	Salernitana	7	2	3	2	10	9	9
13	Foggia	7	2	2	3	6	7	8
14	Cavese	7	2	2	3	12	14	8
15	Barletta	7	1	4	2	11	13	7
16	Team Altamura	7	2	1	4	4	10	7
17	AC Savoia 1908	7	1	3	3	9	11	6
18	Giugliano	6	1	1	4	11	16	4
19	Cosenza	7	0	2	5	5	16	2
20	Crotone	7	1	3	3	7	10	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Audace Cerignola	Team Altamura
AZ Picerno ASD	1-2 L	2-1 W
Casertana	0-0 D	0-1 L
Casarano	0-1 L	0-4 L
Giugliano	4-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Audace Cerignola (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Audace Cerignola

LDDWLWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C	0-2	1-2	6	8	L
19/09	Casertana Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
15/09	Casarano Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
11/09	Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C	2-0	4-0	8	6	W
06/09	Foggia Italy Serie C Group C	2-0	2-0	2	4	W
28/08	Cavese Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	1-3	4	3	L
22/08	Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	3-1	6	6	W
26/04	Benevento Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	2-2	3	0	D
19/04	Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
12/04	Casertana Italy Serie C Group C	0-4	1-4	6	3	L

Team Altamura

DDLWDLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Scafatese Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	0-2	0	2	L
19/09	AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	2-1	5	2	W
15/09	Casertana Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
11/09	Bari Italy Serie C Group C	0-2	0-3	6	5	L
06/09	AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
29/08	Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-1	0	5	D
24/08	Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
26/04	Casarano Italy Serie C Group C	0-2	0-4	1	2	L
19/04	Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	1-1	3	2	D
12/04	Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-1	1	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Audace Cerignola vs Team Altamura?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Audace Cerignola win (49%). Probabilities: Audace Cerignola 49%, draw 28%, Team Altamura 23%.

How many goals are expected in Audace Cerignola vs Team Altamura?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Audace Cerignola 1.53 · Team Altamura 0.99), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Audace Cerignola vs Team Altamura?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.