Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 04/10, 20:30
Prediction: Potenza vs AZ Picerno ASD
Team pages: Potenza · AZ Picerno ASD
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.28Total
Potenza2.18
AZ Picerno ASD1.1
1X2
Potenza
Draw
AZ Picerno ASD
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Potenza
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
AZ Picerno ASD
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Potenza
3–2–1
AZ Picerno ASD
(6 last)
- AZ Picerno ASD2-0Potenza
- Potenza2-0AZ Picerno ASD
- Potenza2-0AZ Picerno ASD
- Potenza2-2AZ Picerno ASD
- AZ Picerno ASD1-1Potenza
- Potenza1-0AZ Picerno ASD
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Potenza 1537 · AZ Picerno ASD 1523
| Potenza | Draw | AZ Picerno ASD | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 22% | 17% |
| Market | 60% | 24% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Potenza: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Potenza | AZ Picerno ASD | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.5 | 3 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Potenza 3–2–1 AZ Picerno ASD
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Italy Serie C Group C | AZ Picerno ASD | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Potenza |
| 21/09/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Potenza | 2-0 HT 1-0 | AZ Picerno ASD |
| 04/05/25 Italy Serie C Play-Offs | Potenza | 2-0 HT 0-0 | AZ Picerno ASD |
| 02/03/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Potenza | 2-2 HT 1-2 | AZ Picerno ASD |
| 21/10/24 Italy Serie C Group C | AZ Picerno ASD | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Potenza |
| 18/03/24 Italy Serie C Group C | Potenza | 1-0 HT 1-0 | AZ Picerno ASD |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Bari | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Sorrento Calcio | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | AZ Picerno ASD | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Casertana | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Monopoli | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Audace Cerignola | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Catania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Scafatese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Inter Milan U23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Casarano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Salernitana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 13 | Foggia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 14 | Cavese | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
| 15 | Barletta | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| 16 | Team Altamura | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 7 |
| 17 | AC Savoia 1908 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 4 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 2 |
| 20 | Crotone | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Potenza | AZ Picerno ASD |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana | 2-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Cosenza | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Catania | 1-1 D | 2-4 L |
| Sorrento Calcio | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Potenza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Barletta Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Cavese Italy Serie C Group C |
2-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/09 | Bari Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 11/09 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Casarano Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 19/04 | Catania Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
AZ Picerno ASD
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 19/09 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/09 | Catania Italy Serie C Group C |
0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 07/09 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 28/08 | Scafatese Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 13/04 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Potenza vs AZ Picerno ASD?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Potenza win (60%). Probabilities: Potenza 60%, draw 23%, AZ Picerno ASD 17%.
How many goals are expected in Potenza vs AZ Picerno ASD?
The model expects 3.28 goals (Potenza 2.18 · AZ Picerno ASD 1.1), with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Potenza vs AZ Picerno ASD?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.