Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 04/10, 14:30
Prediction: Cosenza vs Foggia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Cosenza1.18
Foggia1.15
1X2
Cosenza
Draw
Foggia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Cosenza
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Foggia
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cosenza
3–1–2
Foggia
(6 last)
- Cosenza1-0Foggia
- Foggia2-1Cosenza
- Cosenza2-0Foggia
- Foggia1-0Cosenza
- Cosenza2-0Foggia
- Cosenza2-2Foggia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cosenza 1427 · Foggia 1453
| Cosenza | Draw | Foggia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 31% | 34% |
| Market | 36% | 30% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cosenza: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cosenza | Foggia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.3 | 2.2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cosenza 3–1–2 Foggia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Italy Serie C Group C | Cosenza | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Foggia |
| 30/11/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Foggia | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Cosenza |
| 03/08/24 Europe Friendlies | Cosenza | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Foggia |
| 01/03/19 Italy Serie B | Foggia | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cosenza |
| 20/10/18 Italy Serie B | Cosenza | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Foggia |
| 07/05/17 Italy Serie C Group C | Cosenza | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Foggia |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Bari | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Sorrento Calcio | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | AZ Picerno ASD | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Casertana | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Monopoli | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Audace Cerignola | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Catania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Scafatese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Inter Milan U23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Casarano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Salernitana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 13 | Foggia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 14 | Cavese | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
| 15 | Barletta | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| 16 | Team Altamura | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 7 |
| 17 | AC Savoia 1908 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 4 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 2 |
| 20 | Crotone | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cosenza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Bari Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Scafatese Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C |
1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Cavese Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 07/09 | Catania Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Cavese Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | Trapani Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 13/04 | AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
Foggia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 15/09 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 24/08 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
1-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Siracusa Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cosenza vs Foggia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cosenza win (36%). Probabilities: Cosenza 36%, draw 30%, Foggia 34%.
How many goals are expected in Cosenza vs Foggia?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Cosenza 1.18 · Foggia 1.15), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cosenza vs Foggia?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.