Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 07/11, 14:30

Prediction: Inter Milan U23 vs Salernitana

Team pages: Inter Milan U23 · Salernitana

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Inter Milan U231.37
Salernitana1.66
1X2
30% 27% 43%
Inter Milan U23 Draw Salernitana
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Inter Milan U23 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLWWLWLDWL
Salernitana 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DWDWLWDDLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inter Milan U23 1490 · Salernitana 1503
Inter Milan U23DrawSalernitana
Our model31%26%43%
Market30%28%43%
Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Inter Milan U23Salernitana
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.81.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.90.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.23.6 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.34.4 / 0.2

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Potenza 12921 321729
2 Bari 12642 15822
3 Audace Cerignola 12624 191120
4 Sorrento Calcio 12624 161320
5 Catania 12615 241319
6 Monopoli 12543 13919
7 AZ Picerno ASD 12606 221918
8 Scafatese 12462 181618
9 Inter Milan U23 12525 212017
10 Casertana 12453 161517
11 Cavese 12435 212015
12 Salernitana 12363 151615
13 Foggia 12435 131515
14 Casarano 12435 152015
15 Team Altamura 12435 111715
16 Giugliano 12417 162913
17 Barletta 12264 131612
18 AC Savoia 1908 12264 131812
19 Cosenza 12237 10239
20 Crotone 12147 12201

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentInter Milan U23Salernitana
Scafatese 2-1 W 2-2 D
Giugliano 4-0 W 1-0 W
AC Savoia 1908 1-2 L 1-1 D
Crotone 2-0 W 1-2 L
AZ Picerno ASD 1-4 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Inter Milan U23 (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inter Milan U23

LLWWLWLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Cosenza
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-1 52 L
27/10 Scafatese
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 2-1 33 W
24/10 Sorrento Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-1 75 D
17/10 Monopoli
Italy Serie C Group C
1-2 2-4 31 L
13/10 Giugliano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 4-0 24 W
10/10 AC Savoia 1908
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-2 34 L
20/09 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
2-1 3-2 33 W
15/09 Crotone
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 2-0 44 W
12/09 Casertana
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 2-3 73 L
07/09 AZ Picerno ASD
Italy Serie C Group C
0-2 1-4 56 L

Salernitana

DWDWLWDDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 AC Savoia 1908
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-1 63 D
26/10 AZ Picerno ASD
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-3 56 L
17/10 Scafatese
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 2-2 84 D
11/10 Casarano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 13 D
04/10 Bari
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 2-1 95 W
26/09 Crotone
Italy Serie C Group C
1-2 1-2 116 L
19/09 Giugliano
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-0 124 W
15/09 Barletta
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-1 52 D
11/09 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
3-1 4-2 35 W
06/09 Cavese
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-1 78 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inter Milan U23 vs Salernitana?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Salernitana win (43%). Probabilities: Inter Milan U23 30%, draw 27%, Salernitana 43%.

How many goals are expected in Inter Milan U23 vs Salernitana?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Inter Milan U23 1.37 · Salernitana 1.66), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Inter Milan U23 vs Salernitana?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.