Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 15/11, 17:30

Prediction: Barletta vs Team Altamura

Team pages: Barletta · Team Altamura

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.09Total

Barletta1.3

Team Altamura0.8

1X2

48% 29% 23%

Barletta Draw Team Altamura

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Barletta 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLLDWLDW

Team Altamura 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLWDWD

Head-to-head

Barletta 1–1–2 Team Altamura (4 last)

Team Altamura2-1Barletta
Barletta0-2Team Altamura
Barletta1-0Team Altamura
Team Altamura0-0Barletta

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barletta 1479 · Team Altamura 1487

	Barletta	Draw	Team Altamura
Our model	47%	31%	22%
Market	49%	27%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Team Altamura: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Barletta	Team Altamura
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.1	1.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	1.5 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.30

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:51 +19’	1.83	3.30	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Barletta 1–1–2 Team Altamura

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/04/24 Italy Serie D	Team Altamura	2-1 HT 1-0	Barletta
26/11/23 Italy Serie D	Barletta	0-2 HT 0-1	Team Altamura
06/04/23 Italy Serie D	Barletta	1-0 HT 0-0	Team Altamura
27/11/22 Italy Serie D	Team Altamura	0-0	Barletta

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Potenza	13	10	2	1	35	18	32
2	Bari	13	6	5	2	16	9	23
3	Catania	13	7	1	5	26	13	22
4	Scafatese	13	5	6	2	22	17	21
5	Audace Cerignola	13	6	2	5	20	15	20
6	Monopoli	13	5	5	3	13	9	20
7	Inter Milan U23	13	6	2	5	22	20	20
8	Casertana	13	5	5	3	17	15	20
9	Sorrento Calcio	13	6	2	5	16	15	20
10	AZ Picerno ASD	13	6	1	6	23	20	19
11	Cavese	13	4	4	5	23	22	16
12	Team Altamura	13	4	4	5	13	19	16
13	Giugliano	13	5	1	7	17	29	16
14	Salernitana	13	3	6	4	15	17	15
15	Barletta	13	3	6	4	14	16	15
16	Foggia	13	4	3	6	13	16	15
17	Casarano	13	4	3	6	15	21	15
18	AC Savoia 1908	13	2	6	5	14	21	12
19	Cosenza	13	2	4	7	10	23	10
20	Crotone	13	1	4	8	12	21	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Barletta	Team Altamura
Scafatese	0-1 L	0-2 L
AZ Picerno ASD	1-0 W	2-1 W
Cavese	1-1 D	2-2 D
Potenza	1-4 L	2-2 D
Catania	0-0 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Barletta (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Barletta

LDDLLDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/11	Foggia Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
31/10	Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
24/10	Scafatese Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
18/10	AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
12/10	Cavese Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
03/10	Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	0-1	0	4	L
27/09	Potenza Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-4	4	3	L
19/09	Catania Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
15/09	Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
11/09	Casarano Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	1-3	7	4	L

Team Altamura

LLWLDLWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/11	Cavese Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
31/10	Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	2-1	0	9	W
23/10	Potenza Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	2-2	8	4	D
18/10	Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
11/10	Catania Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
04/10	Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
27/09	Scafatese Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	0-2	0	2	L
19/09	AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	2-1	5	2	W
15/09	Casertana Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
11/09	Bari Italy Serie C Group C	0-2	0-3	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barletta vs Team Altamura?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Barletta win (48%). Probabilities: Barletta 48%, draw 29%, Team Altamura 23%.

How many goals are expected in Barletta vs Team Altamura?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Barletta 1.3 · Team Altamura 0.8), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Barletta vs Team Altamura?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.