Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 08/11, 14:30

Prediction: Monopoli vs Cosenza

Team pages: Monopoli · Cosenza

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Monopoli1.42
Cosenza0.89
1X2
48% 29% 23%
Monopoli Draw Cosenza
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Monopoli 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
LWDDWDLWWD
Cosenza 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LDLDLLWLDW
Head-to-head
Monopoli 4–1–1 Cosenza (6 last)
  • Cosenza0-2Monopoli
  • Monopoli2-2Cosenza
  • Monopoli1-0Cosenza
  • Cosenza2-1Monopoli
  • Monopoli1-0Cosenza
  • Cosenza1-5Monopoli
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Monopoli 1545 · Cosenza 1446
MonopoliDrawCosenza
Our model48%30%22%
Market49%29%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monopoli (rating 1545 vs 1446).
  • H2H favours Monopoli: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MonopoliCosenza
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.80.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 4.22.5 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.24 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Monopoli 4–1–1 Cosenza

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/01/26
Italy Serie C Group C
Cosenza0-2
HT 0-0
Monopoli
24/08/25
Italy Serie C Group C
Monopoli2-2
HT 1-1
Cosenza
17/08/25
Italy Serie C Cup
Monopoli1-0
HT 0-0
Cosenza
28/10/20
Coppa Italia
Cosenza2-1
HT 1-0
Monopoli
11/08/19
Coppa Italia
Monopoli1-0
HT 0-0
Cosenza
30/07/19
Europe Friendlies
Cosenza1-5
HT 1-3
Monopoli

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Potenza 12921 321729
2 Bari 12642 15822
3 Audace Cerignola 12624 191120
4 Sorrento Calcio 12624 161320
5 Inter Milan U23 13625 222020
6 Casertana 13553 171520
7 Catania 12615 241319
8 Monopoli 12543 13919
9 AZ Picerno ASD 12606 221918
10 Scafatese 12462 181618
11 Giugliano 13517 172916
12 Cavese 12435 212015
13 Salernitana 13364 151715
14 Foggia 12435 131515
15 Casarano 13436 152115
16 Team Altamura 12435 111715
17 Barletta 12264 131612
18 AC Savoia 1908 12264 131812
19 Cosenza 12237 10239
20 Crotone 13148 12211

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMonopoliCosenza
Inter Milan U23 4-2 W 1-0 W
AC Savoia 1908 0-0 D 1-1 D
Scafatese 0-0 D 1-1 D
Foggia 1-0 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 0 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Monopoli (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Monopoli

LWDDWDLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Barletta
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 23 D
25/10 Audace Cerignola
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-0 62 W
17/10 Inter Milan U23
Italy Serie C Group C
2-1 4-2 21 W
10/10 Casertana
Italy Serie C Group C
1-2 1-3 54 L
03/10 AC Savoia 1908
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 55 D
27/09 Casarano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-0 55 W
20/09 Crotone
Italy Serie C Group C
1-2 2-2 52 D
15/09 Scafatese
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 41 D
12/09 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-0 26 W
05/09 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-1 64 L

Cosenza

LDLDLLWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Inter Milan U23
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-0 92 W
24/10 AC Savoia 1908
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-1 43 D
18/10 Team Altamura
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 1-3 55 L
12/10 AZ Picerno ASD
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 2-1 65 W
04/10 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-2 64 L
26/09 Bari
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-1 73 L
19/09 Scafatese
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-1 34 D
15/09 Giugliano
Italy Serie C Group C
1-2 2-5 47 L
12/09 Cavese
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 24 D
07/09 Catania
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-4 34 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Monopoli vs Cosenza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Monopoli win (48%). Probabilities: Monopoli 48%, draw 29%, Cosenza 23%.

How many goals are expected in Monopoli vs Cosenza?

The model expects 2.32 goals (Monopoli 1.42 · Cosenza 0.89), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Monopoli vs Cosenza?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.