Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 08/11, 14:30

Prediction: AC Savoia 1908 vs Potenza

Team pages: AC Savoia 1908 · Potenza

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
AC Savoia 19081.36
Potenza1.81
1X2
28% 26% 47%
AC Savoia 1908 Draw Potenza
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Savoia 1908 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
WDDDLDWLDD
Potenza 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WLDWWWWWDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Savoia 1908 1511 · Potenza 1586
AC Savoia 1908DrawPotenza
Our model28%25%47%
Market27%26%47%
Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Potenza (rating 1511 vs 1586).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AC Savoia 1908Potenza
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.32.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.62.2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 04.1 / 0.2

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Potenza 12921 321729
2 Bari 12642 15822
3 Audace Cerignola 12624 191120
4 Sorrento Calcio 12624 161320
5 Inter Milan U23 13625 222020
6 Casertana 13553 171520
7 Catania 12615 241319
8 Monopoli 12543 13919
9 AZ Picerno ASD 12606 221918
10 Scafatese 12462 181618
11 Giugliano 13517 172916
12 Cavese 12435 212015
13 Salernitana 13364 151715
14 Foggia 12435 131515
15 Casarano 13436 152115
16 Team Altamura 12435 111715
17 Barletta 12264 131612
18 AC Savoia 1908 12264 131812
19 Cosenza 12237 10239
20 Crotone 13148 12211

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAC Savoia 1908Potenza
Salernitana 1-1 D 2-4 L
Monopoli 0-0 D 1-0 W
Cavese 2-4 L 4-2 W
Foggia 0-0 D 3-1 W
Crotone 1-1 D 4-2 W
Team Altamura 2-0 W 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 4 D 1 L 4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Potenza (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Savoia 1908

WDDDLDWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Salernitana
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-1 43 D
24/10 Cosenza
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-1 73 D
18/10 Audace Cerignola
Italy Serie C Group C
0-3 0-4 43 L
10/10 Inter Milan U23
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-1 14 W
03/10 Monopoli
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 25 D
26/09 Cavese
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 2-4 62 L
19/09 Casarano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-1 92 D
15/09 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 33 D
12/09 Crotone
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-1 36 D
06/09 Team Altamura
Italy Serie C Group C
2-0 2-0 73 W

Potenza

WLDWWWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Crotone
Italy Serie C Group C
0-2 4-2 85 W
23/10 Team Altamura
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 2-2 44 D
17/10 Catania
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-1 59 W
11/10 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 3-1 14 W
04/10 AZ Picerno ASD
Italy Serie C Group C
2-1 4-2 52 W
27/09 Barletta
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 4-1 33 W
20/09 Cavese
Italy Serie C Group C
2-0 4-2 33 W
15/09 Bari
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 34 D
11/09 Salernitana
Italy Serie C Group C
1-3 2-4 35 L
05/09 Monopoli
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-0 34 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Savoia 1908 vs Potenza?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Potenza win (47%). Probabilities: AC Savoia 1908 28%, draw 26%, Potenza 47%.

How many goals are expected in AC Savoia 1908 vs Potenza?

The model expects 3.16 goals (AC Savoia 1908 1.36 · Potenza 1.81), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Savoia 1908 vs Potenza?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.