Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 07/11, 17:30

Prediction: Scafatese vs Audace Cerignola

Team pages: Scafatese · Audace Cerignola

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Scafatese1.24
Audace Cerignola1.21
1X2
36% 29% 35%
Scafatese Draw Audace Cerignola
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Scafatese 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
DWDDWWDWLD
Audace Cerignola 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWLDLDWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Scafatese 1535 · Audace Cerignola 1532
ScafateseDrawAudace Cerignola
Our model36%30%34%
Market36%29%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ScafateseAudace Cerignola
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.11.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.31 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.73 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.24.8 / 0.1

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Potenza 12921 321729
2 Bari 12642 15822
3 Audace Cerignola 12624 191120
4 Sorrento Calcio 12624 161320
5 Catania 12615 241319
6 Monopoli 12543 13919
7 AZ Picerno ASD 12606 221918
8 Scafatese 12462 181618
9 Inter Milan U23 12525 212017
10 Casertana 12453 161517
11 Cavese 12435 212015
12 Salernitana 12363 151615
13 Foggia 12435 131515
14 Casarano 12435 152015
15 Team Altamura 12435 111715
16 Giugliano 12417 162913
17 Barletta 12264 131612
18 AC Savoia 1908 12264 131812
19 Cosenza 12237 10239
20 Crotone 12147 12201

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentScafateseAudace Cerignola
Team Altamura 2-0 W 0-0 D
Monopoli 0-0 D 0-2 L
Catania 2-1 W 1-0 W
Casertana 2-2 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 0 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Scafatese (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Scafatese

DWDDWWDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Bari
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 1-1 14 D
27/10 Inter Milan U23
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 1-2 63 L
24/10 Barletta
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-0 36 W
17/10 Salernitana
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-2 64 D
11/10 Sorrento Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
3-0 3-2 32 W
27/09 Team Altamura
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-0 22 W
19/09 Cosenza
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-1 54 D
15/09 Monopoli
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 41 D
12/09 Catania
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-1 57 W
06/09 Casertana
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-2 24 D

Audace Cerignola

WWLDLDWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Catania
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-0 55 W
25/10 Monopoli
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-2 92 L
18/10 AC Savoia 1908
Italy Serie C Group C
3-0 4-0 33 W
10/10 Crotone
Italy Serie C Group C
3-1 3-2 69 W
04/10 Team Altamura
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 125 D
26/09 AZ Picerno ASD
Italy Serie C Group C
0-2 1-2 68 L
19/09 Casertana
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 74 D
15/09 Casarano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-1 43 L
11/09 Giugliano
Italy Serie C Group C
2-0 4-0 86 W
06/09 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
2-0 2-0 24 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Scafatese vs Audace Cerignola?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Scafatese win (36%). Probabilities: Scafatese 36%, draw 29%, Audace Cerignola 35%.

How many goals are expected in Scafatese vs Audace Cerignola?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Scafatese 1.24 · Audace Cerignola 1.21), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Scafatese vs Audace Cerignola?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.