Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 22/08, 18:00
Prediction: Juventus U23 vs Novara
Team pages: Juventus U23 · Novara
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Juventus U231.36
Novara1.19
1X2
Juventus U23
Draw
Novara
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Juventus U23
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Novara
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Juventus U23
3–2–1
Novara
(6 last)
- Juventus U231-0Novara
- Novara2-0Juventus U23
- Juventus U232-1Novara
- Juventus U232-1Novara
- Novara1-1Juventus U23
- Juventus U232-2Novara
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juventus U23 1515 · Novara 1505
| Juventus U23 | Draw | Novara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| Market | 39% | 30% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Juventus U23: 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Juventus U23 | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/44/11% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventus U23 3–2–1 Novara
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/25 Italy Serie C Cup | Juventus U23 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Novara |
| 12/03/23 Italy Serie C Group A | Novara | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Juventus U23 |
| 06/11/22 Italy Serie C Group A | Juventus U23 | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Novara |
| 03/03/21 Italy Serie C Group A | Juventus U23 | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Novara |
| 08/11/20 Italy Serie C Group A | Novara | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Juventus U23 |
| 22/01/20 Italy Serie C Group A | Juventus U23 | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Novara |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alcione Milano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Union Brescia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Trento | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cittadella | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Giana Erminio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Desenzano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lecco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lumezzane | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Juventus U23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Novara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Pro Vercelli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Treviso | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Albinoleffe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | US Folgore Caratese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | US Pergolettese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | AC Carpi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Renate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juventus U23
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Juventus Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Forli Italy Serie C Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 04/08 | Alessandria Europe Friendlies |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/08 | Forza e Coraggio Alessandria Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | US Pianese Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 26/04 | AC Bra Italy Serie C Group B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | US Pianese Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 08/04 | Ternana Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Novara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/08 | Virtus Entella Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Sampdoria Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | Inter Milan U23 Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Vicenza Italy Serie C Group A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juventus U23 vs Novara?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Juventus U23 win (39%). Probabilities: Juventus U23 39%, draw 30%, Novara 31%.
How many goals are expected in Juventus U23 vs Novara?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Juventus U23 1.36 · Novara 1.19), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Juventus U23 vs Novara?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.