Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 31/08, 21:00

Prediction: Renate vs Cittadella

Team pages: Renate · Cittadella

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Renate1.14
Cittadella1.26
1X2
32% 30% 38%
Renate Draw Cittadella
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Renate 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WDDLWDWDWL
Cittadella 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
DWWLWLLWLW
Head-to-head
Renate 0–2–2 Cittadella (4 last)
  • Cittadella2-1Renate
  • Renate0-0Cittadella
  • Cittadella4-2Renate
  • Renate0-0Cittadella
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Renate 1514 · Cittadella 1533
RenateDrawCittadella
Our model32%30%38%
Market33%29%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Cittadella: 2-2-0.
  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RenateCittadella
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.41.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 5.71.7 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.13.7 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Renate 022 Cittadella

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/02/26
Italy Serie C Group A
Cittadella2-1
HT 1-1
Renate
04/10/25
Italy Serie C Group A
Renate0-0
HT 0-0
Cittadella
30/01/16
Italy Serie C Group A
Cittadella4-2
HT 2-1
Renate
19/09/15
Italy Serie C Group A
Renate0-0
HT 0-0
Cittadella

Standings · Italy Serie C Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Alcione Milano 1100 313
1 Union Brescia 1100 313
3 A.C. Ospitaletto 1100 203
3 Cittadella 1100 203
5 Trento 1100 213
5 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 1100 213
5 Albinoleffe 1100 213
8 Juventus U23 1100 103
9 Desenzano Calvina 1010 111
9 Pro Vercelli 1010 111
11 Lecco 1010 001
11 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 1010 001
13 Giana Erminio 1001 120
13 Treviso 1001 120
13 US Folgore Caratese 1001 120
16 Novara 1001 010
17 AC Carpi 1001 130
17 Renate 1001 130
19 Lumezzane 1001 020
19 US Pergolettese 1001 020

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRenateCittadella
Trento 3-3 D 1-3 L
Pro Vercelli 2-1 W 2-0 W
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 0-0 D 0-1 L
Novara 3-1 W 1-0 W
Lecco 3-0 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 0 L 3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Renate (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Renate

WDDLWDWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/08 Alcione Milano
Italy Serie C Group A
1-2 1-3 86 L
25/04 Pro Patria
Italy Serie C Group A
1-1 2-1 64 W
19/04 Trento
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 3-3 47 D
13/04 Pro Vercelli
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 2-1 56 W
03/04 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 55 D
28/03 Novara
Italy Serie C Group A
1-1 3-1 63 W
21/03 Vicenza
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 1-3 25 L
15/03 Virtus Verona
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 2-2 72 D
07/03 Lumezzane
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 65 D
03/03 Lecco
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 3-0 83 W

Cittadella

DWWLWLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 US Pergolettese
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 2-0 44 W
25/04 Giana Erminio
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-2 42 L
19/04 Novara
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 1-0 72 W
12/04 Trento
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 1-3 76 L
03/04 Union Brescia
Italy Serie C Group A
0-2 1-2 65 L
29/03 Lecco
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 2-1 56 W
22/03 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 0-1 75 L
15/03 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 2-1 103 W
07/03 Pro Vercelli
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 2-0 43 W
03/03 Inter Milan U23
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 1-1 65 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Renate vs Cittadella?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cittadella win (38%). Probabilities: Renate 32%, draw 30%, Cittadella 38%.

How many goals are expected in Renate vs Cittadella?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Renate 1.14 · Cittadella 1.26), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Renate vs Cittadella?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.