Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 30/08, 18:00

Prediction: AC Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Alcione Milano

Team pages: AC Dolomiti Bellunesi · Alcione Milano

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
AC Dolomiti Bellunesi1.21
Alcione Milano1.15
1X2
36% 31% 33%
AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Draw Alcione Milano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WWLWLDLLDW
Alcione Milano 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DDDLDLLDWW
Head-to-head
AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 0–1–1 Alcione Milano (2 last)
  • Alcione Milano5-0AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
  • AC Dolomiti Bellunesi1-1Alcione Milano
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 1512 · Alcione Milano 1457
AC Dolomiti BellunesiDrawAlcione Milano
Our model36%31%33%
Market36%31%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Dolomiti Bellunesi (rating 1512 vs 1457).
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AC Dolomiti BellunesiAlcione Milano
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.60.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.31.1 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.34.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 011 Alcione Milano

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
25/01/26
Italy Serie C Group A
Alcione Milano5-0
HT 1-0
AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
13/09/25
Italy Serie C Group A
AC Dolomiti Bellunesi1-1
HT 1-1
Alcione Milano

Standings · Italy Serie C Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Alcione Milano 1100 313
1 Union Brescia 1100 313
3 A.C. Ospitaletto 1100 203
3 Cittadella 1100 203
5 Trento 1100 213
5 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 1100 213
5 Albinoleffe 1100 213
8 Juventus U23 1100 103
9 Desenzano Calvina 1010 111
9 Pro Vercelli 1010 111
11 Lecco 1010 001
11 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 1010 001
13 Giana Erminio 1001 120
13 Treviso 1001 120
13 US Folgore Caratese 1001 120
16 Novara 1001 010
17 AC Carpi 1001 130
17 Renate 1001 130
19 Lumezzane 1001 020
19 US Pergolettese 1001 020

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAC Dolomiti BellunesiAlcione Milano
Trento 0-0 D 0-1 L
Union Brescia 0-2 L 0-0 D
Pro Patria 2-4 L 1-1 D
Giana Erminio 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 2 L 0 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Alcione Milano (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Dolomiti Bellunesi

WWLWLDLLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/08 US Folgore Caratese
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 2-1 46 W
25/04 Trento
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 36 D
19/04 Union Brescia
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 0-2 13 L
13/04 Pro Patria
Italy Serie C Group A
1-1 2-4 81 L
06/04 Giana Erminio
Italy Serie C Group A
1-1 1-1 12 D
28/03 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 1-2 104 L
22/03 Inter Milan U23
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 2-1 73 W
15/03 Cittadella
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 1-2 13 L
07/03 A.C. Ospitaletto
Italy Serie C Group A
1-1 4-1 75 W
03/03 Triestina
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 3-2 15 W

Alcione Milano

DDDLDLLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/08 Renate
Italy Serie C Group A
2-1 3-1 56 W
25/04 Albinoleffe
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 2-1 29 W
19/04 Virtus Verona
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 1-1 32 D
10/04 Lecco
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 0-2 06 L
04/04 Trento
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-1 35 L
28/03 Pro Vercelli
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 1-1 73 D
22/03 Novara
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 0-3 24 L
13/03 Union Brescia
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 35 D
07/03 Pro Patria
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-1 95 D
03/03 Giana Erminio
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-1 03 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Alcione Milano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Dolomiti Bellunesi win (36%). Probabilities: AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 36%, draw 31%, Alcione Milano 33%.

How many goals are expected in AC Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Alcione Milano?

The model expects 2.36 goals (AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 1.21 · Alcione Milano 1.15), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Alcione Milano?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.