Prediction: US Pergolettese vs Union Brescia
Team pages: US Pergolettese · Union Brescia
- US Pergolettese2-1Union Brescia
- Union Brescia0-0US Pergolettese
| US Pergolettese | Draw | Union Brescia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 31% | 56% |
| Market | 16% | 26% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| US Pergolettese | Union Brescia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.4 | 2.8 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · US Pergolettese 1–1–0 Union Brescia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/26 Italy Serie C Group A | US Pergolettese | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Union Brescia |
| 04/10/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Union Brescia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | US Pergolettese |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alcione Milano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Union Brescia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Cittadella | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Trento | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Albinoleffe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Juventus U23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Desenzano Calvina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Pro Vercelli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Lecco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Giana Erminio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Treviso | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | US Folgore Caratese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Novara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | AC Carpi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | Renate | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Lumezzane | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | US Pergolettese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | US Pergolettese | Union Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Vicenza | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Albinoleffe | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Union Brescia (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
US Pergolettese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Vicenza Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Virtus Verona Italy Serie C Group A |
0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 06/04 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Pro Patria Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 21/03 | Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/03 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 07/03 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/03 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Union Brescia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 03/04 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/03 | Vicenza Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 21/03 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 13/03 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 07/03 | Triestina Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 03/03 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in US Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Brescia win (58%). Probabilities: US Pergolettese 15%, draw 28%, Union Brescia 58%.
How many goals are expected in US Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?
The model expects 1.85 goals (US Pergolettese 0.51 · Union Brescia 1.34), with a 59% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in US Pergolettese vs Union Brescia?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.