Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 30/08, 21:00
Prediction: Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio
Team pages: Lumezzane · Giana Erminio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
Lumezzane1.14
Giana Erminio0.94
1X2
Lumezzane
Draw
Giana Erminio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Lumezzane
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Giana Erminio
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lumezzane
2–1–3
Giana Erminio
(6 last)
- Lumezzane1-0Giana Erminio
- Giana Erminio2-1Lumezzane
- Giana Erminio1-1Lumezzane
- Lumezzane3-2Giana Erminio
- Giana Erminio2-1Lumezzane
- Lumezzane1-3Giana Erminio
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lumezzane 1520 · Giana Erminio 1490
| Lumezzane | Draw | Giana Erminio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 33% | 29% |
| Market | 40% | 30% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Giana Erminio: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lumezzane | Giana Erminio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.7 | 1.9 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lumezzane 2–1–3 Giana Erminio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Italy Serie C Group A | Lumezzane | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Giana Erminio |
| 04/10/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Giana Erminio | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Lumezzane |
| 28/02/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Giana Erminio | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Lumezzane |
| 19/10/24 Italy Serie C Group A | Lumezzane | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Giana Erminio |
| 23/02/24 Italy Serie C Group A | Giana Erminio | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Lumezzane |
| 21/10/23 Italy Serie C Group A | Lumezzane | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Giana Erminio |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alcione Milano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Union Brescia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Cittadella | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Trento | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Albinoleffe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Juventus U23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Desenzano Calvina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Pro Vercelli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Lecco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Giana Erminio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Treviso | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | US Folgore Caratese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Novara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | AC Carpi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | Renate | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Lumezzane | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | US Pergolettese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lumezzane | Giana Erminio |
|---|---|---|
| A.C. Ospitaletto | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Albinoleffe | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lumezzane
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Virtus Verona Italy Serie C Group A |
4-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 03/04 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 21/03 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 15/03 | Pro Patria Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 07/03 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/03 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
Giana Erminio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Triestina Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 28/03 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 14/03 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 07/03 | Vicenza Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 03/03 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lumezzane win (39%). Probabilities: Lumezzane 39%, draw 31%, Giana Erminio 29%.
How many goals are expected in Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio?
The model expects 2.08 goals (Lumezzane 1.14 · Giana Erminio 0.94), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.