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Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 30/08, 18:00

Prediction: ASD Union Arzignanochiampo vs Pro Vercelli

Team pages: ASD Union Arzignanochiampo · Pro Vercelli

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo1.53
Pro Vercelli1.11
1X2
46% 28% 26%
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Draw Pro Vercelli
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WLWWWDWWWD
Pro Vercelli 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLWDDLLWLD
Head-to-head
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 5–1 Pro Vercelli (6 last)
  • ASD Union Arzignanochiampo3-0Pro Vercelli
  • Pro Vercelli0-5ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
  • ASD Union Arzignanochiampo3-1Pro Vercelli
  • Pro Vercelli0-3ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
  • Pro Vercelli2-0ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
  • ASD Union Arzignanochiampo3-1Pro Vercelli
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 1614 · Pro Vercelli 1484
ASD Union ArzignanochiampoDrawPro Vercelli
Our model46%28%26%
Market46%28%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ASD Union Arzignanochiampo (rating 1614 vs 1484).
  • H2H favours ASD Union Arzignanochiampo: 5-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ASD Union ArzignanochiampoPro Vercelli
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.40.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.10.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 3.71.2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 03.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 5–0–1 Pro Vercelli

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Italy Serie C Group A
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo3-0
HT 0-0
Pro Vercelli
21/12/25
Italy Serie C Group A
Pro Vercelli0-5
HT 0-2
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
09/03/25
Italy Serie C Group A
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo3-1
HT 1-0
Pro Vercelli
25/10/24
Italy Serie C Group A
Pro Vercelli0-3
HT 0-1
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
20/04/24
Italy Serie C Group A
Pro Vercelli2-0
HT 2-0
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
17/12/23
Italy Serie C Group A
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo3-1
HT 2-1
Pro Vercelli

Standings · Italy Serie C Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Alcione Milano 1100 313
1 Union Brescia 1100 313
3 A.C. Ospitaletto 1100 203
3 Cittadella 1100 203
5 Trento 1100 213
5 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 1100 213
5 Albinoleffe 1100 213
8 Juventus U23 1100 103
9 Desenzano Calvina 1010 111
9 Pro Vercelli 1010 111
11 Lecco 1010 001
11 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 1010 001
13 Giana Erminio 1001 120
13 Treviso 1001 120
13 US Folgore Caratese 1001 120
16 Novara 1001 010
17 AC Carpi 1001 130
17 Renate 1001 130
19 Lumezzane 1001 020
19 US Pergolettese 1001 020

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentASD Union ArzignanochiampoPro Vercelli
Inter Milan U23 1-0 W 0-2 L
Renate 0-0 D 1-2 L
Cittadella 1-0 W 0-2 L
US Pergolettese 1-0 W 1-2 L
Lumezzane 1-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: ASD Union Arzignanochiampo (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASD Union Arzignanochiampo

WLWWWDWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Lecco
Italy Serie C Group A
 0-0 0-0 44 D
25/04 Pro Vercelli
Italy Serie C Group A
 0-0 3-0 34 W
19/04 Pro Patria
Italy Serie C Group A
 1-0 3-2 33 W
12/04 Inter Milan U23
Italy Serie C Group A
 0-0 1-0 35 W
03/04 Renate
Italy Serie C Group A
 0-0 0-0 65 D
28/03 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
Italy Serie C Group A
 0-1 2-1 34 W
22/03 Cittadella
Italy Serie C Group A
 1-0 1-0 35 W
14/03 US Pergolettese
Italy Serie C Group A
 1-0 1-0 27 W
07/03 Lecco
Italy Serie C Group A
 0-0 0-1 71 L
03/03 Lumezzane
Italy Serie C Group A
 1-0 1-0 37 W

Pro Vercelli

LLWDDLLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Desenzano
Italy Serie C Group A
 0-0 1-1 53 D
25/04 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
Italy Serie C Group A
 0-0 0-3 64 L
19/04 A.C. Ospitaletto
Italy Serie C Group A
 0-0 1-0 32 W
13/04 Renate
Italy Serie C Group A
 0-1 1-2 36 L
04/04 Inter Milan U23
Italy Serie C Group A
 0-2 0-2 53 L
28/03 Alcione Milano
Italy Serie C Group A
 0-1 1-1 43 D
21/03 Lumezzane
Italy Serie C Group A
 0-0 1-1 54 D
15/03 Triestina
Italy Serie C Group A
 2-0 3-2 37 W
07/03 Cittadella
Italy Serie C Group A
 0-0 0-2 03 L
03/03 US Pergolettese
Italy Serie C Group A
 0-0 1-2 54 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASD Union Arzignanochiampo vs Pro Vercelli?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASD Union Arzignanochiampo win (46%). Probabilities: ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 46%, draw 28%, Pro Vercelli 26%.

How many goals are expected in ASD Union Arzignanochiampo vs Pro Vercelli?

The model expects 2.64 goals (ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 1.53 · Pro Vercelli 1.11), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ASD Union Arzignanochiampo vs Pro Vercelli?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.