Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 31/08, 21:00

Prediction: Albinoleffe vs A.C. Ospitaletto

Team pages: Albinoleffe · A.C. Ospitaletto

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Albinoleffe1.41
A.C. Ospitaletto1.18
1X2
41% 29% 30%
Albinoleffe Draw A.C. Ospitaletto
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Albinoleffe 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWLWDWLWLW
A.C. Ospitaletto 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLWDWDWLLW
Head-to-head
Albinoleffe 0–1–1 A.C. Ospitaletto (2 last)
  • A.C. Ospitaletto3-0Albinoleffe
  • Albinoleffe1-1A.C. Ospitaletto
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Albinoleffe 1554 · A.C. Ospitaletto 1517
AlbinoleffeDrawA.C. Ospitaletto
Our model41%29%30%
Market41%29%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AlbinoleffeA.C. Ospitaletto
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.91.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.21.6 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.23.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Albinoleffe 011 A.C. Ospitaletto

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
Italy Serie C Group A
A.C. Ospitaletto3-0
HT 0-0
Albinoleffe
08/12/25
Italy Serie C Group A
Albinoleffe1-1
HT 0-0
A.C. Ospitaletto

Standings · Italy Serie C Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Alcione Milano 1100 313
1 Union Brescia 1100 313
3 A.C. Ospitaletto 1100 203
3 Cittadella 1100 203
5 Trento 1100 213
5 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 1100 213
5 Albinoleffe 1100 213
8 Juventus U23 1100 103
9 Desenzano Calvina 1010 111
9 Pro Vercelli 1010 111
11 Lecco 1010 001
11 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 1010 001
13 Giana Erminio 1001 120
13 Treviso 1001 120
13 US Folgore Caratese 1001 120
16 Novara 1001 010
17 AC Carpi 1001 130
17 Renate 1001 130
19 Lumezzane 1001 020
19 US Pergolettese 1001 020

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAlbinoleffeA.C. Ospitaletto
Giana Erminio 2-1 W 3-2 W
Lumezzane 1-1 D 2-0 W
Virtus Verona 3-1 W 0-0 D
Union Brescia 1-0 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 0 L 2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Albinoleffe (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Albinoleffe

WWLWDWLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Giana Erminio
Italy Serie C Group A
1-1 2-1 35 W
25/04 Alcione Milano
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 1-2 69 L
19/04 Triestina
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 3-0 83 W
12/04 A.C. Ospitaletto
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-3 102 L
06/04 US Pergolettese
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 3-0 44 W
28/03 Lumezzane
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-1 54 D
20/03 Virtus Verona
Italy Serie C Group A
2-1 3-1 23 W
14/03 Giana Erminio
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 0-1 32 L
07/03 Inter Milan U23
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-0 44 W
03/03 Union Brescia
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-0 73 W

A.C. Ospitaletto

DLWDWDWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Lumezzane
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 2-0 64 W
25/04 Novara
Italy Serie C Group A
0-2 0-2 73 L
19/04 Pro Vercelli
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-1 32 L
12/04 Albinoleffe
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 3-0 72 W
06/04 Virtus Verona
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 74 D
28/03 Giana Erminio
Italy Serie C Group A
1-1 3-2 21 W
21/03 Union Brescia
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 01 D
14/03 Trento
Italy Serie C Group A
3-0 3-2 05 W
07/03 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
Italy Serie C Group A
1-1 1-4 45 L
03/03 Pro Patria
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 54 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Albinoleffe vs A.C. Ospitaletto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Albinoleffe win (41%). Probabilities: Albinoleffe 41%, draw 29%, A.C. Ospitaletto 30%.

How many goals are expected in Albinoleffe vs A.C. Ospitaletto?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Albinoleffe 1.41 · A.C. Ospitaletto 1.18), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Albinoleffe vs A.C. Ospitaletto?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.