Prediction: A.C. Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane
Team pages: A.C. Ospitaletto · Lumezzane
- A.C. Ospitaletto1-2Lumezzane
- Lumezzane2-0A.C. Ospitaletto
| A.C. Ospitaletto | Draw | Lumezzane | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | 39% | 31% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lumezzane (rating 1489 vs 1553).
- H2H favours Lumezzane: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| A.C. Ospitaletto | Lumezzane | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.2 | 3.1 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · A.C. Ospitaletto 0–0–2 Lumezzane
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Italy Serie C Group A | A.C. Ospitaletto | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Lumezzane |
| 21/09/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Lumezzane | 2-0 HT 1-0 | A.C. Ospitaletto |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alcione Milano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Union Brescia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Trento | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cittadella | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Giana Erminio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Desenzano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lecco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lumezzane | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Juventus U23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Novara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Pro Vercelli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Treviso | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Albinoleffe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | US Folgore Caratese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | US Pergolettese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | AC Carpi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Renate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | A.C. Ospitaletto | Lumezzane |
|---|---|---|
| Union Brescia | 3-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Novara | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Albinoleffe | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Virtus Verona | 0-0 D | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Lumezzane (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
A.C. Ospitaletto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Trento Italy Serie C Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Legnago Salus Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Padova Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Union Brescia Club Friendly List |
2-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | Virtus Verona Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 28/03 | Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | D |
Lumezzane
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Renate Italy Serie C Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | A.C. Crema 1908 Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Cremonese Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 06/05 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Virtus Verona Italy Serie C Group A |
4-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 03/04 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in A.C. Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane?
According to our model, the most likely result is a A.C. Ospitaletto win (39%). Probabilities: A.C. Ospitaletto 39%, draw 31%, Lumezzane 30%.
How many goals are expected in A.C. Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane?
The model expects 2.36 goals (A.C. Ospitaletto 1.28 · Lumezzane 1.09), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in A.C. Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.