Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 13/09, 18:00
Prediction: Lumezzane vs Renate
Team pages: Lumezzane · Renate
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Lumezzane1.16
Renate1.13
1X2
Lumezzane
Draw
Renate
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Lumezzane
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Renate
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lumezzane
2–3–1
Renate
(6 last)
- Lumezzane2-2Renate
- Renate0-0Lumezzane
- Lumezzane0-0Renate
- Lumezzane0-2Renate
- Renate1-2Lumezzane
- Renate0-1Lumezzane
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lumezzane 1525 · Renate 1462
| Lumezzane | Draw | Renate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 31% | 34% |
| Market | 36% | 31% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lumezzane (rating 1525 vs 1462).
- H2H favours Lumezzane: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lumezzane | Renate | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5 | 3.3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lumezzane 2–3–1 Renate
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/26 Italy Serie C Cup | Lumezzane | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Renate |
| 07/03/26 Italy Serie C Group A | Renate | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lumezzane |
| 02/11/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Lumezzane | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Renate |
| 16/03/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Lumezzane | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Renate |
| 02/11/24 Italy Serie C Group A | Renate | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Lumezzane |
| 10/02/24 Italy Serie C Group A | Renate | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Lumezzane |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 1 | Union Brescia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Trento | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Alcione Milano | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Juventus U23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Novara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | Treviso | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Albinoleffe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Pro Vercelli | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | AC Carpi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 13 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Desenzano | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | US Folgore Caratese | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Lecco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 18 | US Pergolettese | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 | Renate | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lumezzane | Renate |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Virtus Verona | 4-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Novara | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Pro Vercelli | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Pro Patria | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lumezzane (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lumezzane
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Virtus Verona Italy Serie C Group A |
4-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 03/04 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 21/03 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 15/03 | Pro Patria Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Renate
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 21/08 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Pro Patria Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Trento Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 13/04 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 03/04 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 28/03 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Vicenza Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | Virtus Verona Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lumezzane vs Renate?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lumezzane win (35%). Probabilities: Lumezzane 35%, draw 31%, Renate 34%.
How many goals are expected in Lumezzane vs Renate?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Lumezzane 1.16 · Renate 1.13), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lumezzane vs Renate?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.