Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 20/09, 17:30
Prediction: ASD Union Arzignanochiampo vs Renate
Team pages: ASD Union Arzignanochiampo · Renate
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo1.49
Renate1.38
1X2
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
Draw
Renate
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Renate
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
2–3–1
Renate
(6 last)
- ASD Union Arzignanochiampo0-0Renate
- Renate1-2ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
- Renate0-0ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
- ASD Union Arzignanochiampo1-2Renate
- Renate0-0ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
- Renate0-3ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 1578 · Renate 1464
| ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | Draw | Renate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 27% | 34% |
| Market | 38% | 29% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ASD Union Arzignanochiampo (rating 1578 vs 1464).
- H2H favours ASD Union Arzignanochiampo: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | Renate | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.5 | 3.5 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 2–3–1 Renate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Italy Serie C Group A | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Renate |
| 29/11/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Renate | 1-2 HT 0-1 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo |
| 04/05/25 Italy Serie C Play-Offs | Renate | 0-0 HT 0-0 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo |
| 28/03/25 Italy Serie C Group A | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Renate |
| 16/11/24 Italy Serie C Group A | Renate | 0-0 HT 0-0 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo |
| 24/03/24 Italy Serie C Group A | Renate | 0-3 HT 0-1 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Union Brescia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Alcione Milano | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Trento | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Treviso | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | Lecco | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Pro Vercelli | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 11 | Novara | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 11 | Albinoleffe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | AC Carpi | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
| 14 | Desenzano | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 16 | US Pergolettese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| 17 | Juventus U23 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 5 |
| 18 | US Folgore Caratese | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
| 19 | Renate | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 20 | Giana Erminio | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | Renate |
|---|---|---|
| Pro Vercelli | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Pro Patria | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: ASD Union Arzignanochiampo (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Pro Patria Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 03/04 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 28/03 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Renate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 13/09 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 07/09 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 21/08 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Pro Patria Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Trento Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 13/04 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 03/04 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 28/03 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ASD Union Arzignanochiampo vs Renate?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ASD Union Arzignanochiampo win (38%). Probabilities: ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 38%, draw 28%, Renate 33%.
How many goals are expected in ASD Union Arzignanochiampo vs Renate?
The model expects 2.87 goals (ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 1.49 · Renate 1.38), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in ASD Union Arzignanochiampo vs Renate?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.