Prediction: Novara vs US Pergolettese
Team pages: Novara · US Pergolettese
- Novara1-1US Pergolettese
- US Pergolettese2-2Novara
- US Pergolettese1-2Novara
- Novara3-1US Pergolettese
- US Pergolettese1-1Novara
- Novara2-1US Pergolettese
| Novara | Draw | US Pergolettese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 31% | 23% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Novara: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Novara | US Pergolettese | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 1.4 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Novara 3–3–0 US Pergolettese
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Italy Serie C Group A | Novara | 1-1 HT 1-1 | US Pergolettese |
| 01/11/25 Italy Serie C Group A | US Pergolettese | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Novara |
| 15/02/25 Italy Serie C Group A | US Pergolettese | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Novara |
| 05/10/24 Italy Serie C Group A | Novara | 3-1 HT 2-1 | US Pergolettese |
| 24/03/24 Italy Serie C Group A | US Pergolettese | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Novara |
| 19/11/23 Italy Serie C Group A | Novara | 2-1 HT 0-1 | US Pergolettese |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 1 | Union Brescia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Trento | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Alcione Milano | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Juventus U23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Novara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | Treviso | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Albinoleffe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Pro Vercelli | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | AC Carpi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 13 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Desenzano | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | US Folgore Caratese | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Lecco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 18 | US Pergolettese | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 | Renate | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Novara | US Pergolettese |
|---|---|---|
| Juventus U23 | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Cittadella | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Vicenza | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Lecco | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: US Pergolettese (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Novara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Vicenza Italy Serie C Group A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
US Pergolettese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Vicenza Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Virtus Verona Italy Serie C Group A |
0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 06/04 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Pro Patria Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 21/03 | Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/03 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Novara vs US Pergolettese?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Novara win (46%). Probabilities: Novara 46%, draw 30%, US Pergolettese 24%.
How many goals are expected in Novara vs US Pergolettese?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Novara 1.28 · US Pergolettese 0.84), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Novara vs US Pergolettese?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.