Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 13/09, 21:00

Prediction: Trento vs Union Brescia

Team pages: Trento · Union Brescia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
Trento0.92
Union Brescia1.34
1X2
25% 30% 45%
Trento Draw Union Brescia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Trento 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
LDWLWDDWDW
Union Brescia 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DDDWLWWWWW
Head-to-head
Trento 0–2 Union Brescia (2 last)
  • Union Brescia2-1Trento
  • Trento0-2Union Brescia
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Trento 1491 · Union Brescia 1572
TrentoDrawUnion Brescia
Our model24%30%45%
Market25%30%46%
Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Brescia (rating 1491 vs 1572).
  • H2H favours Union Brescia: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TrentoUnion Brescia
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.21.1 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.60.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.72.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.43.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Trento 002 Union Brescia

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/01/26
Italy Serie C Group A
Union Brescia2-1
HT 1-1
Trento
31/08/25
Italy Serie C Group A
Trento0-2
HT 0-1
Union Brescia

Standings · Italy Serie C Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cittadella 3300 519
1 Union Brescia 3300 519
3 A.C. Ospitaletto 3210 627
4 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 3210 427
5 Trento 3210 317
6 Alcione Milano 3120 425
7 Juventus U23 3120 435
8 Novara 3111 444
9 Treviso 3111 334
9 Albinoleffe 3111 334
11 Pro Vercelli 3111 224
12 AC Carpi 3111 564
13 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 3111 234
14 Lumezzane 3102 243
15 Desenzano 3021 122
16 US Folgore Caratese 3012 351
17 Lecco 3012 021
18 US Pergolettese 3012 031
19 Giana Erminio 3003 250
20 Renate 3003 260

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTrentoUnion Brescia
Desenzano 0-0 D 1-0 W
AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 0-0 D 2-0 W
Cittadella 3-1 W 2-1 W
Inter Milan U23 1-2 L 1-0 W
Alcione Milano 1-0 W 0-0 D
A.C. Ospitaletto 2-3 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 2 L 4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Union Brescia (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Trento

LDWLWDDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/09 Lecco
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-0 32 W
31/08 Desenzano
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 53 D
23/08 Treviso
Italy Serie C Group A
1-1 2-1 36 W
25/04 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 86 D
19/04 Renate
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 3-3 27 D
12/04 Cittadella
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 3-1 46 W
08/04 Inter Milan U23
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 1-2 54 L
04/04 Alcione Milano
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-0 75 W
20/03 Triestina
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 2-2 72 D
14/03 A.C. Ospitaletto
Italy Serie C Group A
0-3 2-3 35 L

Union Brescia

DDDWLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Desenzano
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 1-0 23 W
30/08 US Pergolettese
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-0 44 W
21/08 AC Carpi
Italy Serie C Group A
2-1 3-1 54 W
25/04 Inter Milan U23
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-0 43 W
19/04 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 2-0 113 W
11/04 Lumezzane
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-1 98 L
03/04 Cittadella
Italy Serie C Group A
2-0 2-1 45 W
29/03 Vicenza
Italy Serie C Group A
1-1 1-1 60 D
21/03 A.C. Ospitaletto
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 91 D
13/03 Alcione Milano
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 25 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Trento vs Union Brescia?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Brescia win (45%). Probabilities: Trento 25%, draw 30%, Union Brescia 45%.

How many goals are expected in Trento vs Union Brescia?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Trento 0.92 · Union Brescia 1.34), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Trento vs Union Brescia?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.