Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 17/09, 21:00
Prediction: Giana Erminio vs Trento
Team pages: Giana Erminio · Trento
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Giana Erminio1.04
Trento1.34
1X2
Giana Erminio
Draw
Trento
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Giana Erminio
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Trento
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Giana Erminio
2–1–3
Trento
(6 last)
- Trento1-2Giana Erminio
- Trento3-1Giana Erminio
- Giana Erminio0-2Trento
- Giana Erminio2-0Trento
- Trento2-0Giana Erminio
- Trento0-0Giana Erminio
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giana Erminio 1438 · Trento 1511
| Giana Erminio | Draw | Trento | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 30% | 42% |
| Market | 28% | 30% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trento (rating 1438 vs 1511).
- H2H favours Trento: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Giana Erminio | Trento | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.9 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Giana Erminio 2–1–3 Trento
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Italy Serie C Play-Offs | Trento | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Giana Erminio |
| 03/01/26 Italy Serie C Group A | Trento | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Giana Erminio |
| 23/08/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Giana Erminio | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Trento |
| 05/04/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Giana Erminio | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Trento |
| 23/11/24 Italy Serie C Group A | Trento | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Giana Erminio |
| 06/04/24 Italy Serie C Group A | Trento | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Giana Erminio |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 1 | Union Brescia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Trento | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Alcione Milano | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Juventus U23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Novara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | Treviso | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Albinoleffe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Pro Vercelli | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | AC Carpi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 13 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Desenzano | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | US Folgore Caratese | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Lecco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 18 | US Pergolettese | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 | Renate | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Giana Erminio | Trento |
|---|---|---|
| Lecco | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Cittadella | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Inter Milan U23 | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Triestina | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Trento (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giana Erminio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Triestina Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 28/03 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
Trento
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 07/09 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Treviso Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 08/04 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 20/03 | Triestina Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giana Erminio vs Trento?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Trento win (42%). Probabilities: Giana Erminio 28%, draw 30%, Trento 42%.
How many goals are expected in Giana Erminio vs Trento?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Giana Erminio 1.04 · Trento 1.34), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Giana Erminio vs Trento?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.