Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 26/09, 14:30
Prediction: Giana Erminio vs Pro Vercelli
Team pages: Giana Erminio · Pro Vercelli
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Giana Erminio1.27
Pro Vercelli0.97
1X2
Giana Erminio
Draw
Pro Vercelli
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Giana Erminio
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Pro Vercelli
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Giana Erminio
4–1–1
Pro Vercelli
(6 last)
- Giana Erminio1-0Pro Vercelli
- Pro Vercelli0-0Giana Erminio
- Giana Erminio1-2Pro Vercelli
- Giana Erminio3-0Pro Vercelli
- Pro Vercelli0-1Giana Erminio
- Giana Erminio3-0Pro Vercelli
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giana Erminio 1452 · Pro Vercelli 1480
| Giana Erminio | Draw | Pro Vercelli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 31% | 27% |
| Market | 43% | 29% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Giana Erminio: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Giana Erminio | Pro Vercelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.6 | 2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Giana Erminio 4–1–1 Pro Vercelli
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/26 Italy Serie C Group A | Giana Erminio | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Pro Vercelli |
| 19/10/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Pro Vercelli | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Giana Erminio |
| 11/01/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Giana Erminio | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Pro Vercelli |
| 27/11/24 Italy Serie C Cup | Giana Erminio | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Pro Vercelli |
| 08/09/24 Italy Serie C Group A | Pro Vercelli | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Giana Erminio |
| 07/05/24 Italy Serie C Play-Offs | Giana Erminio | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Pro Vercelli |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 14 |
| 3 | Trento | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Treviso | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 9 | Albinoleffe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 10 | Lecco | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Lumezzane | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Novara | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | AC Carpi | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 6 |
| 14 | Desenzano | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 15 | US Pergolettese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 16 | Pro Vercelli | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
| 17 | Juventus U23 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 18 | US Folgore Caratese | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| 20 | Renate | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Giana Erminio | Pro Vercelli |
|---|---|---|
| US Folgore Caratese | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Trento | 2-2 D | 0-4 L |
| Inter Milan U23 | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Giana Erminio (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giana Erminio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 17/09 | Trento Italy Serie C Group A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Triestina Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
Pro Vercelli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Trento Italy Serie C Group A |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/09 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Treviso Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 07/09 | US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/04 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giana Erminio vs Pro Vercelli?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Giana Erminio win (42%). Probabilities: Giana Erminio 42%, draw 30%, Pro Vercelli 28%.
How many goals are expected in Giana Erminio vs Pro Vercelli?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Giana Erminio 1.27 · Pro Vercelli 0.97), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Giana Erminio vs Pro Vercelli?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.