Prediction: Lumezzane vs Novara
Team pages: Lumezzane · Novara
- Novara1-3Lumezzane
- Lumezzane1-1Novara
- Lumezzane2-2Novara
- Novara0-0Lumezzane
- Novara1-1Lumezzane
- Lumezzane1-1Novara
| Lumezzane | Draw | Novara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 32% | 33% |
| Market | 36% | 30% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lumezzane | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.7 | 2.4 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lumezzane 1–5–0 Novara
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Italy Serie C Group A | Novara | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Lumezzane |
| 29/11/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Lumezzane | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Novara |
| 11/04/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Lumezzane | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Novara |
| 01/12/24 Italy Serie C Group A | Novara | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lumezzane |
| 30/03/24 Italy Serie C Group A | Novara | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Lumezzane |
| 26/11/23 Italy Serie C Group A | Lumezzane | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Novara |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Union Brescia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Alcione Milano | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Trento | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Treviso | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Desenzano | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Albinoleffe | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Juventus U23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 11 | Novara | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Lecco | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 14 | AC Carpi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | Lumezzane | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | US Pergolettese | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 18 | US Folgore Caratese | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| 19 | Renate | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 20 | Giana Erminio | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lumezzane | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Renate | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Cittadella | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| A.C. Ospitaletto | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Novara (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lumezzane
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Virtus Verona Italy Serie C Group A |
4-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 03/04 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 21/03 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Novara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Vicenza Italy Serie C Group A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lumezzane vs Novara?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lumezzane win (36%). Probabilities: Lumezzane 36%, draw 31%, Novara 34%.
How many goals are expected in Lumezzane vs Novara?
The model expects 2.23 goals (Lumezzane 1.14 · Novara 1.09), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lumezzane vs Novara?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.