Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 17/09, 18:30

Prediction: Pro Vercelli vs Alcione Milano

Team pages: Pro Vercelli · Alcione Milano

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Pro Vercelli1.16
Alcione Milano1.15
1X2
35% 30% 34%
Pro Vercelli Draw Alcione Milano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Pro Vercelli 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DDLLWLDLWL
Alcione Milano 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDLLDWWDDW
Head-to-head
Pro Vercelli 3–1–0 Alcione Milano (4 last)
  • Alcione Milano1-1Pro Vercelli
  • Pro Vercelli1-0Alcione Milano
  • Alcione Milano1-2Pro Vercelli
  • Pro Vercelli1-0Alcione Milano
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pro Vercelli 1506 · Alcione Milano 1463
Pro VercelliDrawAlcione Milano
Our model35%31%34%
Market35%30%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pro Vercelli (rating 1506 vs 1463).
  • H2H favours Pro Vercelli: 3-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pro VercelliAlcione Milano
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.31.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.50.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.21.6 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.44.6 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pro Vercelli 310 Alcione Milano

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/03/26
Italy Serie C Group A
Alcione Milano1-1
HT 1-0
Pro Vercelli
22/11/25
Italy Serie C Group A
Pro Vercelli1-0
HT 0-0
Alcione Milano
22/03/25
Italy Serie C Group A
Alcione Milano1-2
HT 0-1
Pro Vercelli
08/11/24
Italy Serie C Group A
Pro Vercelli1-0
HT 0-0
Alcione Milano

Standings · Italy Serie C Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cittadella 3300 519
1 Union Brescia 3300 519
3 A.C. Ospitaletto 3210 627
4 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 3210 427
5 Trento 3210 317
6 Alcione Milano 3120 425
7 Juventus U23 3120 435
8 Novara 3111 444
9 Treviso 3111 334
9 Albinoleffe 3111 334
11 Pro Vercelli 3111 224
12 AC Carpi 3111 564
13 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 3111 234
14 Lumezzane 3102 243
15 Desenzano 3021 122
16 US Folgore Caratese 3012 351
17 Lecco 3012 021
18 US Pergolettese 3012 031
19 Giana Erminio 3003 250
20 Renate 3003 260

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPro VercelliAlcione Milano
Treviso 1-2 L 1-1 D
US Folgore Caratese 1-0 W 3-2 W
Renate 1-2 L 3-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Alcione Milano (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pro Vercelli

DDLLWLDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Treviso
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 1-2 27 L
07/09 US Folgore Caratese
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 1-0 64 W
30/08 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-1 32 L
23/08 Desenzano
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-1 53 D
25/04 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-3 64 L
19/04 A.C. Ospitaletto
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-0 32 W
13/04 Renate
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 1-2 36 L
04/04 Inter Milan U23
Italy Serie C Group A
0-2 0-2 53 L
28/03 Alcione Milano
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 1-1 43 D
21/03 Lumezzane
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-1 54 D

Alcione Milano

LDLLDWWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 US Folgore Caratese
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 3-2 44 W
07/09 Treviso
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-1 46 D
30/08 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 14 D
21/08 Renate
Italy Serie C Group A
2-1 3-1 56 W
25/04 Albinoleffe
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 2-1 29 W
19/04 Virtus Verona
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 1-1 32 D
10/04 Lecco
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 0-2 06 L
04/04 Trento
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-1 35 L
28/03 Pro Vercelli
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 1-1 73 D
22/03 Novara
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 0-3 24 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pro Vercelli vs Alcione Milano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pro Vercelli win (35%). Probabilities: Pro Vercelli 35%, draw 30%, Alcione Milano 34%.

How many goals are expected in Pro Vercelli vs Alcione Milano?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Pro Vercelli 1.16 · Alcione Milano 1.15), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Pro Vercelli vs Alcione Milano?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.