Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 04/10, 20:30

Prediction: Alcione Milano vs Trento

Team pages: Alcione Milano · Trento

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Alcione Milano1.07
Trento1.25
1X2
30% 30% 39%
Alcione Milano Draw Trento
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Alcione Milano 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
LDWWDDWDLD
Trento 4-6-0 (W-D-L)
WDDWDWDDWD
Head-to-head
Alcione Milano 1–3 Trento (4 last)
  • Trento1-0Alcione Milano
  • Alcione Milano2-0Trento
  • Trento1-0Alcione Milano
  • Alcione Milano0-1Trento
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alcione Milano 1477 · Trento 1528
Alcione MilanoDrawTrento
Our model30%31%39%
Market31%30%40%
Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trento (rating 1477 vs 1528).
  • H2H favours Trento: 3-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Alcione MilanoTrento
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.51.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.62.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.14.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alcione Milano 1–0–3 Trento

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/04/26
Italy Serie C Group A
Trento1-0
HT 0-0
Alcione Milano
30/11/25
Italy Serie C Group A
Alcione Milano2-0
HT 0-0
Trento
17/03/25
Italy Serie C Group A
Trento1-0
HT 1-0
Alcione Milano
02/11/24
Italy Serie C Group A
Alcione Milano0-1
HT 0-0
Trento

Standings · Italy Serie C Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cittadella 7700 13221
2 Union Brescia 7430 12415
3 A.C. Ospitaletto 7421 13514
4 Trento 7340 9313
5 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 7412 10713
6 Treviso 7331 8612
7 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 7241 6510
8 Alcione Milano 7241 101110
9 Albinoleffe 7232 1099
10 Lumezzane 7223 798
11 Lecco 7223 468
12 Desenzano 7142 467
13 US Pergolettese 7142 137
14 US Folgore Caratese 7133 8106
15 Novara 7133 696
16 AC Carpi 7133 10156
17 Pro Vercelli 7133 6116
18 Juventus U23 7133 7136
19 Giana Erminio 7034 6103
20 Renate 7025 5112

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAlcione MilanoTrento
Union Brescia 0-4 L 0-0 D
Pro Vercelli 2-2 D 4-0 W
Treviso 1-1 D 2-1 W
AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 0-0 D 0-0 D
Renate 3-1 W 3-3 D
Lecco 0-2 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 2 L 3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Trento (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alcione Milano

LDWWDDWDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Albinoleffe
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-1 32 D
20/09 Union Brescia
Italy Serie C Group A
0-3 0-4 72 L
17/09 Pro Vercelli
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 2-2 73 D
13/09 US Folgore Caratese
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 3-2 44 W
07/09 Treviso
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-1 46 D
30/08 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 14 D
21/08 Renate
Italy Serie C Group A
2-1 3-1 56 W
25/04 Albinoleffe
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 2-1 29 W
19/04 Virtus Verona
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 1-1 32 D
10/04 Lecco
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 0-2 06 L

Trento

WDDWDWDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 US Pergolettese
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 51 D
21/09 Pro Vercelli
Italy Serie C Group A
2-0 4-0 73 W
17/09 Giana Erminio
Italy Serie C Group A
2-1 2-2 56 D
13/09 Union Brescia
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 35 D
07/09 Lecco
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-0 32 W
31/08 Desenzano
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 53 D
23/08 Treviso
Italy Serie C Group A
1-1 2-1 36 W
25/04 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 86 D
19/04 Renate
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 3-3 27 D
12/04 Cittadella
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 3-1 46 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alcione Milano vs Trento?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Trento win (39%). Probabilities: Alcione Milano 30%, draw 30%, Trento 39%.

How many goals are expected in Alcione Milano vs Trento?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Alcione Milano 1.07 · Trento 1.25), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Alcione Milano vs Trento?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.