Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 03/10, 14:30
Prediction: Cittadella vs Albinoleffe
Team pages: Cittadella · Albinoleffe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Cittadella1.67
Albinoleffe0.79
1X2
Cittadella
Draw
Albinoleffe
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Cittadella
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Albinoleffe
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cittadella
2–3
Albinoleffe
(5 last)
- Cittadella0-1Albinoleffe
- Albinoleffe2-1Cittadella
- Cittadella2-1Albinoleffe
- Cittadella1-0Albinoleffe
- Albinoleffe2-0Cittadella
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cittadella 1583 · Albinoleffe 1499
| Cittadella | Draw | Albinoleffe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 26% | 16% |
| Market | 58% | 25% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cittadella (rating 1583 vs 1499).
- H2H favours Albinoleffe: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cittadella | Albinoleffe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.7 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.3 | 1.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cittadella 2–0–3 Albinoleffe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Italy Serie C Group A | Cittadella | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Albinoleffe |
| 21/09/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Albinoleffe | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Cittadella |
| 06/08/17 Coppa Italia | Cittadella | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Albinoleffe |
| 05/03/16 Italy Serie C Group A | Cittadella | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Albinoleffe |
| 24/10/15 Italy Serie C Group A | Albinoleffe | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Cittadella |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Trento | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Treviso | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 9 | Albinoleffe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 10 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 11 | Lecco | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 |
| 12 | Desenzano | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 13 | US Pergolettese | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | US Folgore Caratese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 15 | Novara | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 16 | AC Carpi | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 6 |
| 17 | Pro Vercelli | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 20 | Renate | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cittadella | Albinoleffe |
|---|---|---|
| A.C. Ospitaletto | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Juventus U23 | 2-0 W | 5-3 W |
| AC Carpi | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Giana Erminio | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Cittadella (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cittadella
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/09 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Trento Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
Albinoleffe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
3-0 | 5-3 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 17/09 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 19/04 | Triestina Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-3 | 10 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cittadella vs Albinoleffe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cittadella win (58%). Probabilities: Cittadella 58%, draw 26%, Albinoleffe 17%.
How many goals are expected in Cittadella vs Albinoleffe?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Cittadella 1.67 · Albinoleffe 0.79), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cittadella vs Albinoleffe?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.