Prediction: Lecco vs Union Brescia
Team pages: Lecco · Union Brescia
- Union Brescia3-1Lecco
- Lecco0-1Union Brescia
| Lecco | Draw | Union Brescia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 29% | 50% |
| Market | 22% | 28% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Brescia (rating 1454 vs 1572).
- H2H favours Union Brescia: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lecco | Union Brescia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.8 | 2.9 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lecco 0–0–2 Union Brescia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Italy Serie C Group A | Union Brescia | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Lecco |
| 19/10/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Lecco | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Union Brescia |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Trento | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Treviso | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 9 | Albinoleffe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 10 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 11 | Lecco | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 |
| 12 | Desenzano | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 13 | US Pergolettese | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | US Folgore Caratese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 15 | Novara | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 16 | AC Carpi | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 6 |
| 17 | Pro Vercelli | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 20 | Renate | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lecco | Union Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| US Pergolettese | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Desenzano | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Trento | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Treviso | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Lumezzane | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Alcione Milano | 2-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Union Brescia (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lecco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 17/09 | Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/09 | Trento Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 31/08 | Treviso Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 10/04 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
Union Brescia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 17/09 | Treviso Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | Trento Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lecco vs Union Brescia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Brescia win (50%). Probabilities: Lecco 22%, draw 28%, Union Brescia 50%.
How many goals are expected in Lecco vs Union Brescia?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Lecco 0.9 · Union Brescia 1.48), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lecco vs Union Brescia?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.