Prediction: Giana Erminio vs Union Brescia
Team pages: Giana Erminio · Union Brescia
- Union Brescia5-2Giana Erminio
- Giana Erminio0-2Union Brescia
- Union Brescia2-0Giana Erminio
| Giana Erminio | Draw | Union Brescia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 25% | 57% |
| Market | 18% | 25% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Brescia (rating 1446 vs 1584).
- H2H favours Union Brescia: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Giana Erminio | Union Brescia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.9 | 2.3 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Giana Erminio 0–0–3 Union Brescia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/26 Italy Serie C Cup | Union Brescia | 5-2 HT 3-0 | Giana Erminio |
| 02/02/26 Italy Serie C Group A | Giana Erminio | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Union Brescia |
| 21/09/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Union Brescia | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Giana Erminio |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Trento | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | Treviso | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Lecco | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | Desenzano | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 9 | Albinoleffe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 10 | Alcione Milano | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
| 11 | Lumezzane | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | US Pergolettese | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 13 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | Novara | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 9 |
| 15 | AC Carpi | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 9 |
| 16 | Pro Vercelli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 9 |
| 17 | Juventus U23 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 7 |
| 18 | US Folgore Caratese | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
| 20 | Renate | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Giana Erminio | Union Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| Treviso | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Pro Vercelli | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Trento | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Lecco | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 4 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Union Brescia (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giana Erminio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 04/10 | Treviso Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 17/09 | Trento Italy Serie C Group A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
Union Brescia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 27/09 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 17/09 | Treviso Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | Trento Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giana Erminio vs Union Brescia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Brescia win (57%). Probabilities: Giana Erminio 18%, draw 25%, Union Brescia 57%.
How many goals are expected in Giana Erminio vs Union Brescia?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Giana Erminio 0.89 · Union Brescia 1.78), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Giana Erminio vs Union Brescia?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.