Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 25/10, 17:30

Prediction: Pro Vercelli vs A.C. Ospitaletto

Team pages: Pro Vercelli · A.C. Ospitaletto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Pro Vercelli1.11

A.C. Ospitaletto1.38

1X2

29% 29% 42%

Pro Vercelli Draw A.C. Ospitaletto

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Pro Vercelli 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLDLDWLL

A.C. Ospitaletto 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWDLWDWL

Head-to-head

Pro Vercelli 1–1 A.C. Ospitaletto (2 last)

Pro Vercelli1-0A.C. Ospitaletto
A.C. Ospitaletto2-0Pro Vercelli

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pro Vercelli 1456 · A.C. Ospitaletto 1534

	Pro Vercelli	Draw	A.C. Ospitaletto
Our model	29%	29%	42%
Market	30%	28%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours A.C. Ospitaletto (rating 1456 vs 1534).
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pro Vercelli	A.C. Ospitaletto
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.8	1.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.1	1.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.4	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.20

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 18:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.00▼	Pinn 3.52 ★
X	3.30 → 3.20▼	Pinn 3.27
2	1.85 → 2.10▲	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:20 +6’	3.50	3.30	1.85
16:35 +4’	3.20▼	3.25▼	2.00▲
18:35 +5’	3.00▼	3.20▼	2.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:16 +1’	3.88	3.37	1.83
09:23 +56’	3.99▲	3.45▲	1.85▲
12:31 +57’	3.96▼	3.43▼	1.87▲
16:30 +10’	3.52▼	3.27▼	2.05▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pro Vercelli 1–0–1 A.C. Ospitaletto

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Italy Serie C Group A	Pro Vercelli	1-0 HT 0-0	A.C. Ospitaletto
14/12/25 Italy Serie C Group A	A.C. Ospitaletto	2-0 HT 1-0	Pro Vercelli

Standings · Italy Serie C Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cittadella	10	9	0	1	17	4	27
2	Trento	10	5	5	0	15	5	20
3	Union Brescia	10	5	4	1	17	8	19
4	A.C. Ospitaletto	10	5	3	2	17	9	18
5	ASD Union Arzignanochiampo	10	5	2	3	14	11	17
6	Treviso	10	4	4	2	10	7	16
7	Alcione Milano	10	3	6	1	17	15	15
8	US Pergolettese	10	3	5	2	8	8	14
9	Lecco	10	3	4	3	12	9	13
10	Albinoleffe	10	3	4	3	16	15	13
11	Desenzano	10	3	4	3	9	11	13
12	Lumezzane	10	3	3	4	11	14	12
13	Novara	10	2	4	4	10	14	10
14	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi	10	2	4	4	7	12	10
15	Juventus U23	10	2	4	4	10	16	10
16	Pro Vercelli	10	2	3	5	8	18	9
17	AC Carpi	10	2	3	5	14	20	9
18	Giana Erminio	10	1	5	4	10	13	8
19	US Folgore Caratese	10	1	3	6	9	15	6
20	Renate	10	0	4	6	9	16	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pro Vercelli	A.C. Ospitaletto
AC Carpi	2-0 W	2-2 D
Treviso	1-2 L	1-0 W
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo	0-1 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: A.C. Ospitaletto (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pro Vercelli

DLWLDLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Lecco Italy Serie C Group A	0-2	0-5	3	5	L
09/10	Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
03/10	AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
26/09	Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	1-1	4	7	D
21/09	Trento Italy Serie C Group A	0-2	0-4	4	3	L
17/09	Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
13/09	Treviso Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	1-2	2	7	L
07/09	US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
30/08	ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
23/08	Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	1-1	5	3	D

A.C. Ospitaletto

WDWWDLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A	2-0	2-3	7	3	L
11/10	Treviso Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
03/10	Renate Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
26/09	Novara Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	2-0	2	8	W
20/09	Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
17/09	AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group A	1-2	2-2	3	7	D
13/09	Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	3-0	7	3	W
06/09	ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A	1-1	3-1	4	2	W
31/08	Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	1-1	8	2	D
22/08	Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	2-0	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pro Vercelli vs A.C. Ospitaletto?

According to our model, the most likely result is an A.C. Ospitaletto win (42%). Probabilities: Pro Vercelli 29%, draw 29%, A.C. Ospitaletto 42%.

How many goals are expected in Pro Vercelli vs A.C. Ospitaletto?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Pro Vercelli 1.11 · A.C. Ospitaletto 1.38), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pro Vercelli vs A.C. Ospitaletto?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.